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CONMEBOL Libertadores World

11.03.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction

11.03.2026 00:30 UTC

Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Botafogo - Barcelona SC

World Football

Botafogo

0 : 1

Finished

Barcelona SC

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Botafogo - Barcelona SC March 11, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Botafogo.

Line favourite market consensus: Botafogo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.52 / X 3.73 / 2 6.88
1X2 market: Botafogo 61.3% / X 25.1% / Barcelona SC 13.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 60.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.1%

1 61.4%

X 25.0%

2 13.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.5%

Over 2.5 40.0%

Under 2.5 60.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 11.03.2026 00:30 UTC

Match center

Botafogo - Barcelona SC

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.89 market consensus · line only

X 3.74 market consensus · line only

1 1.53 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.44 market consensus · line only

12 1.25 market consensus · line only

1X 1.10 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.46 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.84 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.72 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.37 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.58 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.51 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.43 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.53 65.4%
X	3.82 26.2%
	7.03 14.2%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.52 65.8%	1.54 64.9%	1.56 64.1%	1.50 66.7%	1.60 62.5%	1.50 66.7%
X	3.80 26.3%	3.60 27.8%	3.78 26.5%	3.70 27.0%	3.90 25.6%	3.70 27.0%
	6.80 14.7%	5.80 17.2%	7.25 13.8%	6.50 15.4%	7.10 14.1%	7.50 13.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	Superbet
no	1.53 65.4%	1.49 67.1%	1.51 66.2%	1.50 66.7%	1.52 65.8%	1.45 69.0%	1.49 67.1%	1.52 65.8%	1.58 63.3%
yes	2.35 42.6%	2.58 38.8%	2.40 41.7%	2.50 40.0%	2.45 40.8%	2.55 39.2%	2.40 41.7%	2.53 39.5%	2.30 43.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet
draw_away	2.45 40.8%	2.45 40.8%	2.30 43.5%	2.47 40.5%	2.50 40.0%	2.41 41.5%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.28 78.1%	1.28 78.1%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.08 92.6%	1.10 90.9%	1.12 89.3%	1.13 88.5%	1.10 90.9%	1.07 93.5%

Match center

Botafogo

D W L L W

04.03 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Botafogo 1:1 Barcelona SC

26.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Botafogo 2:0 Nacional Potosí

19.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Botafogo 0:1 Nacional Potosí

21.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Botafogo 0:2 LDU de Quito

14.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Botafogo 1:0 LDU de Quito

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

0.8 Scored

0.8 Conceded

7 Points

Barcelona SC

D W L L L

04.03 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Barcelona SC 1:1 Botafogo

26.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Barcelona SC 1:0 Argentinos JRS

19.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Barcelona SC 0:1 Argentinos JRS

28.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Barcelona SC 1:2 Independiente del Valle

15.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Barcelona SC 0:1 Universitario

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

0.6 Scored

1.0 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBotafogo - Barcelona SC

Botafogo

1 matches total

Barcelona SC

Botafogo: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Barcelona SC: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 04.03 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (04.03 00:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

04.03 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Botafogo

1:1

Barcelona SC