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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
26.02.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction
26.02.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Botafogo - Nacional Potosí

World Football
Botafogo
Botafogo
2 : 0
Finished
Nacional Potosí
Nacional Potosí

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Botafogo - Nacional Potosí February 26, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Botafogo.

Line favourite market consensus: Botafogo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.04 / X 13.46 / 2 29.45
  • 1X2 market: Botafogo 89.3% / X 7.3% / Nacional Potosí 3.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 72.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.0%
1 89.9%
X 6.9%
2 3.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.9%
Over 2.5 73.0%
Under 2.5 27.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.02.2026 00:30 UTC
Match center

Botafogo - Nacional Potosí

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.04 market consensus · line only
X 9.24 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 8.53 market consensus · line only
12 1.03 market consensus · line only
1X 1.01 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 6.80 market consensus · line only
2 -1 6.98 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.10 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.06 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.27 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.43 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.33 market consensus · line only
Yes 3.08 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.04 96.2%
X 17.00 5.9%
29.00 3.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.07 93.5%
X 14.00 7.1% 10.50 9.5% 17.00 5.9% 10.00 10.0% 17.00 5.9% 15.00 6.7%
21.00 4.8% 21.00 4.8% 39.00 2.6% 26.00 3.9% 29.00 3.5% 22.00 4.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5%
yes 3.20 31.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.14 31.9% 3.20 31.3% 2.75 36.4% 3.15 31.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.14 31.9% 3.23 31.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
draw_away 9.00 11.1% 11.00 9.1% 8.50 11.8% 11.00 9.1% 8.50 11.8% 12.00 8.3% 8.70 11.5%
home_away 1.03 97.1% 1.01 99.0% 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0% 1.05 95.2% 1.03 97.1% —
home_draw 1.01 99.0% — 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.0% —
Match center
Botafogo
L L W W W
19.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo 0:1 Nacional Potosí
21.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo 0:2 LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
14.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo 1:0 LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
28.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo 1:0 Universidad de Chile
15.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo 3:2 Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Nacional Potosí
W
19.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Nacional Potosí 1:0 BotafogoBotafogo
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBotafogo - Nacional Potosí

Botafogo
1 matches total
Nacional Potosí
Botafogo: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Nacional Potosí: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Nacional Potosí 0:1 (19.02 00:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 19.02 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

19.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo
0:1
Nacional Potosí