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CONMEBOL Libertadores World

04.03.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction

04.03.2026 22:00 UTC

Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Carabobo FC - Sporting Cristal

World Football

Carabobo FC

0 : 1

Finished

Sporting Cristal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Carabobo FC - Sporting Cristal March 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Carabobo FC.

Line favourite market consensus: Carabobo FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.61 / X 2.95 / 2 2.83
1X2 market: Carabobo FC 35.6% / X 31.5% / Sporting Cristal 32.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 62.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.5%

1 35.6%

X 31.5%

2 32.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%

Over 2.5 37.4%

Under 2.5 62.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 04.03.2026 22:00 UTC

Match center

Carabobo FC - Sporting Cristal

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.84 market consensus · line only

X 2.95 market consensus · line only

1 2.62 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.45 market consensus · line only

12 1.36 market consensus · line only

1X 1.40 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.75 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.41 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.51 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.50 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.69 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.68 37.3%
X	2.97 33.7%
	2.95 33.9%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	2.56 39.1%	2.48 40.3%	2.70 37.0%	2.70 37.0%	2.65 37.7%	2.55 39.2%
X	3.05 32.8%	3.10 32.3%	3.00 33.3%	2.80 35.7%	3.00 33.3%	3.00 33.3%
	2.86 35.0%	2.68 37.3%	2.95 33.9%	2.90 34.5%	2.77 36.1%	2.80 35.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	Unibet
no	1.75 57.1%	1.65 60.6%	1.68 59.5%	1.67 59.9%	1.75 57.1%	1.65 60.6%	1.66 60.2%	1.70 58.8%	1.72 58.1%
yes	1.95 51.3%	2.20 45.5%	2.06 48.5%	2.10 47.6%	1.98 50.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.06 48.5%	2.15 46.5%	1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.48 67.6%	1.48 67.6%	1.44 69.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%
home_away	1.30 76.9%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%
home_draw	1.40 71.4%	1.41 70.9%	1.40 71.4%	1.45 69.0%	1.40 71.4%	1.38 72.5%

Match center

Carabobo FC

W W L L L

24.02 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Carabobo FC 2:1 Huachipato

17.02 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Carabobo FC 1:0 Huachipato

28.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Carabobo FC 0:2 Estudiantes L.P.

14.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Carabobo FC 0:4 Universidad de Chile

06.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Carabobo FC 1:2 Botafogo

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.8 Conceded

6 Points

Sporting Cristal

D D L L W

25.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Sporting Cristal 0:0 2 de Mayo

18.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Sporting Cristal 2:2 2 de Mayo

29.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Sporting Cristal 0:6 Palmeiras

14.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Sporting Cristal 0:1 Cerro Porteno

08.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Sporting Cristal 2:1 Bolívar

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

0.8 Scored

2.0 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCarabobo FC - Sporting Cristal

Carabobo FC

0 matches total

Sporting Cristal

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Carabobo FC - Sporting Cristal

AI match prediction Carabobo FC - Sporting Cristal March 4, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Buy the full AI analysis

Carabobo FC - Sporting Cristal

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Market 1

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

Match history