Cerro Porteno 1:0 Junior result — April 15, 2026

Match center

Cerro Porteno - Junior

Cerro Porteno: Win 1.95 Cerro Porteno: Draw 3.30 Junior Win: 4.00 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 2.10 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.70 Individualnyy total golov Cerro Porteno bolshe 1.5: 2.10 Individualnyy total golov Cerro Porteno menshe 1.5: 1.67 Individualnyy total…

Form 5/1 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 1:0

Events 16

Statistics 24

Lineups 39

min Event Player Team

26' 26' Yellow Card | Edgar Raul Paez Torales Cerro Porteno

37' 37' Yellow Card | Juan David Ríos Noah Schachter Junior

38' 38' Yellow Card | Guillermo Benitez Cerro Porteno

46' 46' Substitution 1 | Juan David Ríos | assist/sub out: Guillermo Celis Noah Schachter Junior

46' 46' Substitution 1 | Piris da Motta | assist/sub out: Cesar Bobadilla Otto Emerson Stange Cerro Porteno

46' 46' Substitution 2 | Guillermo Benitez | assist/sub out: Mateo Klimowicz Cerro Porteno

57' 57' Normal Goal | Jonathan Torres E. Colley Cerro Porteno

59' 59' Substitution 2 | Teófilo Gutiérrez | assist/sub out: Guillermo Paiva Mahta Khanloo Junior

Metric Cerro Porteno Junior SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.3 0.93 final

Zablokirovannye udary 3 3 final

Shots off target 4 3 final

Shots on target 4 3 final

Udary vsego 11 9 final

Fouls soversheno 14 13 final

Zheltye kartochki 4 1 final

Offsides 1 3 final

Cerro Porteno #1 M. Silveira, #5 D. Rivera, #8 Y. Chara, #18 K. Pérez, #22 J. Rivas, #26 Y. Suarez, #33 L. Monzon, #34 J. Guerrero, #98 J. Pena

Junior #1 A. Martin, #5 J. Morel, #13 A. G. Benitez, #19 P. Vegetti, #22 M. Perez, #23 G. Velázquez, #24 Edgar Raul Paez Torales, #26 R. Piris, #27 J. Torres, #35 M. Chaparro

Player Team Metric SStats

Roberto Fernández Seyvy 0

Rodrigo Melgarejo Seyvy 0

B. Castrillon Cerro Porteno football.player.assists 0

B. Castrillon Cerro Porteno Dribling popytki 3

B. Castrillon Cerro Porteno Dribling uspeshno 4

B. Castrillon Cerro Porteno Edinoborstva vyigrano 7

B. Castrillon Cerro Porteno Fouls soversheno 1

B. Castrillon Cerro Porteno Fouls na igroke 2

B. Castrillon Cerro Porteno Seyvy 0

B. Castrillon Cerro Porteno football.player.minutes_played 31

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Cerro Porteno 47.2% - market favourite

Draw 28.6% 100.0% draw risk

Junior 24.1% -

Total 2.5 Over 54.4% - Under 45.6%

Model check - - Difference 0.71

Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.71

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

Rating 1,549 / 1,616 Cerro Porteno / Junior

RD 207 / 229 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.58 market consensus · line only

X 3.11 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.15 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.66 market consensus · line only

12 1.33 market consensus · line only

1X 1.28 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.70 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.29 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.57 market consensus · line only

2 +1 7.00 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.29 market consensus · value +24.5% · model 54.4%

Under 2.5 1.61 market consensus · no value · model 45.6%

Both teams to score

No 1.78 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.20 45.5%
X	3.10 32.3%
	3.60 27.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	2.14 46.7%	1.94 51.6%	2.21 45.3%	2.20 45.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.10 47.6%
X	3.00 33.3%	3.35 29.9%	3.14 31.9%	3.10 32.3%	3.05 32.8%	3.25 30.8%
	3.70 27.0%	3.45 29.0%	3.68 27.2%	3.60 27.8%	3.70 27.0%	3.40 29.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.80 55.6%	1.87 53.5%	1.73 57.8%	1.80 55.6%	1.78 56.2%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.71 58.5%	1.83 54.6%
yes	1.91 52.4%	1.90 52.6%	1.99 50.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.98 50.5%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.99 50.3%	1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
draw_away	1.67 59.9%	1.68 59.5%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.62 61.7%
home_away	1.30 76.9%	1.37 73.0%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.28 78.1%	1.29 77.5%	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.29 77.5%