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CONMEBOL Libertadores World

08.05.2025 00:30 UTC Match prediction

08.05.2025 00:30 UTC

Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cerro Porteno - Palmeiras

World Football

Cerro Porteno

0 : 2

Finished

Palmeiras

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cerro Porteno - Palmeiras May 8, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Palmeiras.

Line favourite Fonbet: Palmeiras. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.60 / X 3.35 / 2 1.85
1X2 market: Cerro Porteno 20.6% / X 28.3% / Palmeiras 51.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%

1 20.6%

X 28.3%

2 51.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%

Over 2.5 42.3%

Under 2.5 57.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 08.05.2025 00:30 UTC

Match center

Cerro Porteno - Palmeiras

Form 5/3 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.85 Fonbet · line only

X 3.35 Fonbet · line only

1 4.60 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

X2 1.20 Fonbet · line only

12 1.33 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.22 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.89 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.80 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Yes 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	4.77 21.0%
X	3.33 30.0%
	1.88 53.2%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	4.20 23.8%	4.36 22.9%	4.00 25.0%	4.20 23.8%	4.35 23.0%	4.33 23.1%
X	3.30 30.3%	3.48 28.7%	3.25 30.8%	3.40 29.4%	3.45 29.0%	3.20 31.3%
	1.92 52.1%	1.90 52.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.91 52.4%	1.98 50.5%	1.91 52.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Betway	Bwin	Fonbet
no	1.75 57.1%	1.77 56.5%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%
yes	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.10 47.6%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betway
draw_away	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%
home_away	1.28 78.1%	1.32 75.8%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.31 76.3%	1.33 75.2%
home_draw	1.83 54.6%	1.92 52.1%	1.83 54.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.88 53.2%	1.88 53.2%

Match center

Cerro Porteno

D L W W W

25.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cerro Porteno 2:2 Sporting Cristal

10.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cerro Porteno 0:1 Palmeiras

01.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cerro Porteno 4:2 Bolívar

12.03 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cerro Porteno 4:2 FBC Melgar

05.03 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cerro Porteno 1:0 FBC Melgar

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

2.2 Scored

1.4 Conceded

10 Points

Palmeiras

W W W

24.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Palmeiras 3:2 Bolívar

10.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Palmeiras 1:0 Cerro Porteno

03.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Palmeiras 3:2 Sporting Cristal

3 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

2.3 Scored

1.3 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCerro Porteno - Palmeiras

Cerro Porteno

1 matches total

Palmeiras

Cerro Porteno: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Palmeiras: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Palmeiras 0:1 (10.04 00:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 10.04 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

10.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cerro Porteno

0:1

Palmeiras