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CONMEBOL Libertadores World

Group F. 3 round 30.04.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction

30.04.2026 00:30 UTC Group F. 3 round

Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cerro Porteno - Palmeiras

World Football

Cerro Porteno

1 : 1

Finished

Palmeiras

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cerro Porteno - Palmeiras April 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Palmeiras.

Line favourite market consensus: Palmeiras. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.65 / X 3.21 / 2 1.86
1X2 market: Cerro Porteno 20.3% / X 29.2% / Palmeiras 50.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 60.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.4%

1 20.2%

X 29.3%

2 50.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.9%

Over 2.5 39.5%

Under 2.5 60.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 30.04.2026 00:30 UTC

Match center

Cerro Porteno - Palmeiras

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Serro Porteno - Palmeyras, 30 aprelya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Cup Libertadores 2026, Group F. 3 round. Serro Porteno - Palmeyras, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.86 market consensus · line only

X 3.22 market consensus · line only

1 4.66 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.18 market consensus · line only

12 1.30 market consensus · line only

1X 1.92 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.20 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.69 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.39 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.56 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.65 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.12 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	4.75 21.1%
X	3.25 30.8%
	1.85 54.1%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	4.50 22.2%	4.73 21.1%	4.00 25.0%	4.75 21.1%	5.10 19.6%	4.75 21.1%
X	3.25 30.8%	3.31 30.2%	3.10 32.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.35 29.9%	3.10 32.3%
	1.85 54.1%	1.89 52.9%	1.91 52.4%	1.85 54.1%	1.88 53.2%	1.83 54.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.65 60.6%	1.64 61.0%	1.75 57.1%	1.67 59.9%	1.65 60.6%	1.57 63.7%	1.65 60.6%	1.62 61.7%	1.60 62.5%
yes	2.10 47.6%	2.13 47.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.10 47.6%	2.15 46.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.10 47.6%	2.13 47.0%	2.18 45.9%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.20 83.3%	1.20 83.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.17 85.5%	1.21 82.6%	1.17 85.5%
home_away	1.28 78.1%	1.34 74.6%	1.36 73.5%	1.30 76.9%	1.32 75.8%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.91 52.4%	1.93 51.8%	1.75 57.1%	2.00 50.0%	1.98 50.5%	2.00 50.0%

Match center

Cerro Porteno

W L D L L

14.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cerro Porteno 1:0 Junior

09.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cerro Porteno 0:1 Sporting Cristal

20.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cerro Porteno 0:0 Estudiantes L.P.

13.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cerro Porteno 0:1 Estudiantes L.P.

29.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cerro Porteno 0:4 Bolívar

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

0.2 Scored

1.2 Conceded

4 Points

Palmeiras

W D L W L

16.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Palmeiras 2:1 Sporting Cristal

09.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Palmeiras 1:1 Junior

29.11 21:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Palmeiras 0:1 Flamengo

31.10 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Palmeiras 4:0 LDU de Quito

24.10 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Palmeiras 0:3 LDU de Quito

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.2 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCerro Porteno - Palmeiras

Cerro Porteno

2 matches total

Palmeiras

Cerro Porteno: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Palmeiras: 2 (100%)

Biggest win Palmeiras 0:2 (08.05 00:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 08.05 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 0

Match history

08.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cerro Porteno

0:2

Palmeiras

10.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cerro Porteno

0:1

Palmeiras

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Cerro Porteno

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Palmeiras

2 Games 2

1 Wins 1

0 Draws 1

1 Losses 0

1 Scored 3

1 Conceded 2

3 Points 4

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

2 Shots on target 5.5

rteno Group F. 5 round Goly Dzhon Aryas Allan 0:1 33' Karlos Migel 1 72' Nakazaniya Allan 20' Khuan Iturbe 90+4'

Serro Porteno Palmeyras 2 Games 2 1 Wins 1 0 Draws 1 Losses 0 1 Scored 3 1 Conceded 2 3 Points 4 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 2 Udary v stvor 5.5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 2.5 Uglovye 9.5 0.5 Offsaydy 4 10.5 Foly 6.5 41 % vladeniya myachom 61 2 Warnings 0.5 0.5 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 21.05.2026 Cup Libertadores — 2026 Palmeyras –:– Serro Porteno Group F. 5 round Goly Dzhon Aryas Allan 0:1 33' Karlos Migel 1 72' Nakazaniya Allan 20' Khuan Iturbe 90+4'