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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
Group F. 6 round 28.05.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
28.05.2026 22:00 UTC Group F. 6 round
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cerro Porteno - Sporting Cristal

World Football
Cerro Porteno
Cerro Porteno
2 : 0
Finished
Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cerro Porteno - Sporting Cristal May 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cerro Porteno.

Line favourite market consensus: Cerro Porteno. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.66 / X 3.50 / 2 5.58
  • 1X2 market: Cerro Porteno 56.4% / X 26.8% / Sporting Cristal 16.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 56.4%
X 26.8%
2 16.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 42.5%
Under 2.5 57.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Cerro Porteno

Main outcome Cerro Porteno
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 28.05.2026 22:00 UTC
Match center

Cerro Porteno - Sporting Cristal

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Serro Porteno - Sporting Kristal, 29 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Cup Libertadores 2026, Group F. 6 round. Serro Porteno - Sporting Kristal, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:0
Events 18
Statistics 22
Lineups 46
min Event Player Team
31' 31' Yellow Card | L. Abram L. Abram Sporting Cristal
45+1' 45+1' Yellow Card | M. Tavara G. Távara Sporting Cristal
51' 51' Normal Goal | P. Vegetti | assist/sub out: J. Morel P. Vegetti Cerro Porteno
61' 61' Substitution 1 | L. Abram | assist/sub out: F. Lora L. Abram Sporting Cristal
61' 61' Substitution 2 | M. Tavara | assist/sub out: L. Iberico G. Távara Sporting Cristal
63' 63' Yellow Card | C. Bobadilla C. Bobadilla Cerro Porteno
64' 64' Penalty confirmed | G. Velázquez G. Velázquez Cerro Porteno
67' 67' Penalty | C. Dominguez C. Dominguez Cerro Porteno
Metric Cerro Porteno Sporting Cristal SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.34 0.16 final
Zablokirovannye udary 1 2 final
Shots off target 6 2 final
Shots on target 4 3 final
Udary vsego 11 7 final
Fouls soversheno 12 15 final
Zheltye kartochki 3 3 final
Offsides 4 1 final
Cerro Porteno #1 A. Martin, #13 A. G. Benitez, #27 J. Torres, #32 C. Bobadilla, #19 P. Vegetti, #22 M. Perez, #26 R. Piris, #5 J. Morel, #10 C. Dominguez, #23 G. Velázquez, #2 F. Dominguez
Sporting Cristal #1 D. Enríquez, #11 I. Ávila, #23 M. Castro, #25 G. Távara, #96 L. Abram, #5 R. Lutiger, #19 Y. Yotún, #55 Gustavo Cazonatti, #20 M. Araujo, #27 Gabriel, #8 L. Sosa
Player Team Metric SStats
A. G. Benitez Cerro Porteno football.player.minutes_played 96
A. Martin Cerro Porteno football.player.minutes_played 96
C. Bobadilla Cerro Porteno football.player.minutes_played 69
C. Dominguez Cerro Porteno football.player.goals 1
C. Dominguez Cerro Porteno football.player.minutes_played 79
F. Dominguez Cerro Porteno football.player.minutes_played 96
F. Peralta Cerro Porteno football.player.minutes_played 17
G. Velázquez Cerro Porteno football.player.minutes_played 89
I. Aliseda Cerro Porteno football.player.minutes_played 27
J. Iturbe Cerro Porteno football.player.minutes_played 26
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.12 Fonbet · line only
2 5.58 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.09 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 5.30 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.95 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 4.40 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Yes 6.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.64 61.0% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.62 61.7%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.52 28.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.65 27.4% 3.60 27.8%
5.60 17.9% 5.70 17.5% 5.50 18.2% 5.50 18.2% 6.20 16.1% 5.50 18.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.68 59.5%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.11 47.4% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.11 47.4% 2.04 49.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.13 88.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.08 92.6% 1.04 96.2%
Over 0.75 — 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.0 — 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.25 — 1.23 81.3%
Over 1.5 1.40 71.4% 1.37 73.0%
Over 1.75 — 1.49 67.1%
Over 2.0 — 1.65 60.6%
Over 2.25 — 1.99 50.3%
Over 2.5 2.20 45.5% —
Over 3.5 4.20 23.8% —
Over 4.5 8.00 12.5% —
Under 0.5 7.50 13.3% —
Under 1.5 2.90 34.5% —
Under 2.5 1.65 60.6% —
Under 3.5 1.22 82.0% —
Under 4.5 1.07 93.5% —
Match center
Cerro Porteno
W W D W L
21.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno 1:0 PalmeirasPalmeiras
08.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno 1:0 JuniorJunior
30.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno 1:1 PalmeirasPalmeiras
14.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno 1:0 JuniorJunior
09.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno 0:1 Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.4 Conceded
10 Points
Sporting Cristal
L L W L W
21.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 2:3 JuniorJunior
05.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 0:2 PalmeirasPalmeiras
29.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 2:0 JuniorJunior
16.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 1:2 PalmeirasPalmeiras
09.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 1:0 Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCerro Porteno - Sporting Cristal

Cerro Porteno
3 matches total
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:1 (33.3%)
Sporting Cristal: 1 (33.4%)
Biggest win Sporting Cristal 0:1 (09.04 02:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 25.04 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (25.04 00:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 3

Match history

09.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno
0:1
Sporting Cristal
14.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno
1:0
Sporting Cristal
25.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno
2:2
Sporting Cristal
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Cerro Porteno
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno Team comparison Sporting Cristal
5 Games 9
3 Wins 4
1 Draws 1
1 Losses 4
4 Scored 10
2 Conceded 11
10 Points 13
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
7 Shots on goal 18
2.2 Shots on target 3.2
2 Sendoffs 0.11 Goly Pablo Vekhetti Jorge Morel 1:0 51' Cecilio Dominguez 2:0 67' Nezabitye penalti Gustavo Velaskes 62' Nakazaniya Luis Abram 31' Martin Tavara 45+1' Cesar Bobadilla 63' Pablo Vekhetti 76' Catriel Cabellos 76' Lukas Kintana 90+5'

Serro Porteno Sporting Kristal 5 Games 9 3 Wins 4 1 Draws 1 Losses 4 Scored 10 2 Conceded 11 10 Points 13 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 7 Shots on goal 18 2.2 Udary v stvor 3.2 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 2.6 Uglovye 4.8 0.8 Offsaydy 2.2 11.4 Foly 8.2 35.4 % vladeniya myachom 50.2 Warnings 1.22 0.2 Sendoffs 0.11 Goly Pablo Vekhetti Jorge Morel 1:0 51' Cecilio Dominguez 2:0 67' Nezabitye penalti Gustavo Velaskes 62' Nakazaniya Luis Abram 31' Martin Tavara 45+1' Cesar Bobadilla 63' Pablo Vekhetti 76' Catriel Cabellos 76' Lukas Kintana 90+5'