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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
Group B. 5 round 20.05.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
20.05.2026 22:00 UTC Group B. 5 round
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Club Nacional - Universitario

World Football
Club Nacional
Club Nacional
0 : 0
Finished
Universitario
Universitario

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Club Nacional - Universitario May 20, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Club Nacional.

Line favourite market consensus: Club Nacional. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.68 / X 3.53 / 2 5.43
  • 1X2 market: Club Nacional 55.8% / X 26.7% / Universitario 17.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.3%
1 56.0%
X 26.7%
2 17.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5 44.4%
Under 2.5 55.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Club Nacional

Main outcome Club Nacional
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 53.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 20.05.2026 22:00 UTC
Match center

Club Nacional - Universitario

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Nasonal M - Universitario, 21 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Cup Libertadores 2026, Group B. 5 round. Nasonal M - Universitario, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 12
Statistics 20
Lineups 46
min Event Player Team
11' 11' Substitution 1 | L. Rodríguez | assist/sub out: L. Boggio L. Rodríguez Club Nacional
41' 41' Yellow Card | Caín Fara C. Fara Universitario
46' 46' Substitution 2 | E. Ancheta | assist/sub out: N. López E. Ancheta Club Nacional
70' 70' Substitution 3 | M. Silvera | assist/sub out: P. Nunez M. Silvera Club Nacional
70' 70' Substitution 4 | J. de los Santos | assist/sub out: G. Carneiro J. De Los Santos Club Nacional
81' 81' Substitution 3 | Jairo Concha | assist/sub out: Jorge Murrugarra J. Concha Universitario
81' 81' Substitution 1 | Lisandro Alzugaray | assist/sub out: Edison Flores Lisandro Joel Alzugaray Universitario
81' 81' Substitution 2 | A. Polo | assist/sub out: Hugo Ancajima A. Polo Universitario
Metric Club Nacional Universitario SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 0.29 0.6 final
Zablokirovannye udary 4 2 final
Shots off target 4 5 final
Shots on target 4 3 final
Udary vsego 12 10 final
Fouls soversheno 6 4 final
Zheltye kartochki 0 1 final
Ball possession, % 48 52 final
Club Nacional #1 Luis Mejía, #11 M. Silvera, #19 J. De Los Santos, #21 C. Cándido, #9 M. Gómez, #23 L. Rodríguez, #32 T. Viera, #4 S. Coates, #10 A. dos Santos, #13 E. Ancheta, #30 B. Barcia
Universitario #2 C. Fara, #20 A. Valera, #25 M. Vargas, #27 J. Carabalí, #3 W. Riveros, #17 J. Concha, #30 Lisandro Joel Alzugaray, #4 A. Santamaria, #8 H. Fertoli, #16 M. Perez Guedes, #24 A. Polo
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Polo Universitario football.player.minutes_played 81
A. Santamaria Universitario football.player.minutes_played 95
A. Valera Universitario football.player.minutes_played 93
C. Fara Universitario football.player.minutes_played 95
É. Flores Universitario football.player.minutes_played 14
H. Ancajima Universitario football.player.minutes_played 14
H. Fertoli Universitario football.player.minutes_played 87
J. Carabalí Universitario football.player.minutes_played 95
J. Castillo Universitario football.player.minutes_played 8
J. Concha Universitario football.player.minutes_played 81
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 1.15 Fonbet · line only
1 7.30 Fonbet · line only
2 5.43 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 4.70 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.60 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.02 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.63 61.4% 1.69 59.2% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.90 52.6%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.64 27.5% 3.30 30.3% 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.30 30.3%
5.75 17.4% 5.71 17.5% 5.50 18.2% 5.50 18.2% 6.10 16.4% 4.00 25.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Superbet
no 1.73 57.8% 1.69 59.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.71 58.5%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 1.83 54.6%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.13 88.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.13 88.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.07 93.5% 1.03 97.1%
Over 0.75 — 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.0 — 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.25 — 1.20 83.3%
Over 1.5 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2%
Over 1.75 — 1.44 69.4%
Over 2.0 — 1.57 63.7%
Over 2.25 — 1.91 52.4%
Over 2.5 2.10 47.6% —
Over 3.5 3.85 26.0% —
Over 4.5 7.50 13.3% —
Under 0.5 8.00 12.5% —
Under 1.5 3.00 33.3% —
Under 2.5 1.70 58.8% —
Under 3.5 1.25 80.0% —
Under 4.5 1.08 92.6% —
Match center
Club Nacional
L L W D W
07.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Club Nacional 0:3 Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
30.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Club Nacional 2:4 UniversitarioUniversitario
14.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Club Nacional 3:1 Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
08.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Club Nacional 1:1 Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido
28.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Club Nacional 1:0 Atletico Nacional
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Universitario
L W L D D
08.05 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Universitario 1:2 Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido
30.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Universitario 4:2 Club NacionalClub Nacional
15.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Universitario 0:2 Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido
08.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Universitario 0:0 Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
22.08 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Universitario 0:0 PalmeirasPalmeiras
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyClub Nacional - Universitario

Club Nacional
1 matches total
Universitario
Club Nacional: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Universitario: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Universitario 2:4 (30.04 02:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (2:4, 30.04 02:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 2

Match history

30.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Club Nacional
2:4
Universitario
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Club Nacional
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Universitario
Club Nacional Team comparison Universitario
4 Games 4
1 Wins 1
1 Draws 1
2 Losses 2
6 Scored 5
9 Conceded 6
4 Points 4
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
4.25 Shots on target 4.25
Sootnoshenie statisticheskikh dannykh komand Nasonal M Universitario 4 Games 4 1 Wins 1 Draws 1 2 Losses 2 6 Scored 5 9 Conceded 6 4 Points 4 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 4.25 Udary v stvor 4.25 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.25 Uglovye 5.5 0.5 Offsaydy 1.5 9.25 Foly 14.25 39 % vlad

Nasonal M Universitario 4 Games 4 1 Wins 1 Draws 1 2 Losses 2 6 Scored 5 9 Conceded 6 4 Points 4 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 4.25 Udary v stvor 4.25 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.25 Uglovye 5.5 0.5 Offsaydy 1.5 9.25 Foly 14.25 39 % vladeniya myachom 51.5 2.5 Warnings 2.25 0.25 Sendoffs 0 Nakazaniya Cain Jair Fara 41'