Match center
Start
08.05.2026 00:00 UTC
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08.05.2026 00:00 UTC
Group B. 4 round
Finished
CONMEBOL Libertadores
Coquimbo Unido - Universitario
2
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Coquimbo Unido - Universitario May 8, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Coquimbo Unido.
Line favourite market consensus: Coquimbo Unido. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.33 / X 2.97 / 2 3.29
- 1X2 market: Coquimbo Unido 40.1% / X 31.5% / Universitario 28.5%
- Glicko: Coquimbo Unido - / X 100.0% / Universitario -
- Total 2.5: over probability 79.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.0%
1
40.1%
X
31.5%
2
28.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5
38.8%
Under 2.5
61.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: X
Main outcome
X
Agreement
4/5
Confidence
66.2%
Total
Over 2.5
Score
2:1
Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.
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Match center
Coquimbo Unido - Universitario
Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Kokimbo Unido - Universitario, 8 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Cup Libertadores 2026, Group B. 4 round. Kokimbo Unido - Universitario, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.
Form
3/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
4
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
yes
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
2:1
Events
16
Statistics
22
Lineups
46
min
Event
Player
Team
21'
21' Yellow Card | M. Di Benedetto
M. Di Benedetto
Universitario
25'
25' Yellow Card | A. Santamaría
A. Santamaria
Universitario
33'
33' Normal Goal | A. Valera
A. Valera
Universitario
46'
46' Substitution 1 | A. Santamaría | assist/sub out: W. Riveros
A. Santamaria
Universitario
46'
46' Substitution 1 | A. Camargo | assist/sub out: S. Cordero
A. Camargo
Coquimbo Unido
50'
50' Normal Goal | G. Vadalá | assist/sub out: F. Salinas
G. Vadalá
Coquimbo Unido
55'
55' Yellow Card | A. Valera
A. Valera
Universitario
66'
66' Yellow Card | M. Fernández
M. Fernandez
Coquimbo Unido
Metric
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG)
1.6
0.82
final
Zablokirovannye udary
2
2
final
Shots off target
4
5
final
Shots on target
4
2
final
Udary vsego
10
9
final
Fouls soversheno
13
9
final
Zheltye kartochki
1
3
final
Offsides
3
1
final
Coquimbo Unido
#7 S. Galani, #9 N. Johansen, #13 Davinson Sánchez, #16 J. Cornejo, #30 B. Chandia, #3 M. Fernandez, #8 A. Camargo, #10 G. Vadalá, #2 B. Gazzolo, #15 C. Zavala, #17 F. Salinas
Universitario
#5 M. Di Benedetto, #20 A. Valera, #25 M. Vargas, #27 J. Carabalí, #4 A. Santamaria, #17 J. Concha, #19 É. Flores, #2 C. Fara, #23 J. Murrugarra, #16 M. Perez Guedes, #24 A. Polo
Player
Team
Metric
SStats
A. Polo
Universitario
football.player.assists
0
A. Polo
Universitario
football.player.minutes_played
90
A. Santamaria
Universitario
football.player.assists
0
A. Santamaria
Universitario
football.player.minutes_played
45
A. Valera
Universitario
football.player.assists
0
A. Valera
Universitario
football.player.goals
1
A. Valera
Universitario
football.player.minutes_played
74
C. Fara
Universitario
football.player.assists
0
C. Fara
Universitario
football.player.minutes_played
90
É. Flores
Universitario
football.player.assists
0
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Coquimbo Unido
44.3%
-
market favourite
Draw
30.1%
100.0%
draw risk
Universitario
25.6%
-
Total 2.5
Over 79.0%
-
Under 21.1%
Model check
-
-
Difference 0.70
Draw-trap risk
Favourite-trap risk
The match leans toward a high total
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.70
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
HFA: -
HFA mu: -
MoV: -
N: N=1
P: glicko2_expected
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.26
market consensus · line only
X
5.30
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.16
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2
1.58
market consensus · line only
12
1.35
market consensus · line only
1X
1.30
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.61
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.24
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.40
market consensus · line only
2 +1
6.67
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.43
market consensus · weak value +91.8% · model 79.0%
Under 2.5
1.54
market consensus · no value · model 21.1%
Both teams to score
No
1.71
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.02
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.30 43.5% | 2.39 41.8% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.30 43.5% | |
| X | 3.00 33.3% | 2.98 33.6% | 2.88 34.7% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% |
| 3.30 30.3% | 3.48 28.7% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.25 30.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.73 57.8% | 1.71 58.5% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.73 57.8% |
| yes | 2.00 50.0% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.02 49.5% | 1.97 50.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.57 63.7% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.57 63.7% |
| home_away | 1.33 75.2% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.33 75.2% |
| home_draw | 1.30 76.9% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.33 75.2% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.10 90.9% | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 0.75 | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 1.0 | — | 1.11 90.1% |
| Over 1.25 | — | 1.27 78.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.48 67.6% | 1.43 69.9% |
| Over 1.75 | — | 1.58 63.3% |
| Over 2.0 | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 2.19 45.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.40 41.7% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.50 10.5% | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — |
| Under 1.5 | 2.60 38.5% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.55 64.5% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — |
Match center
Coquimbo Unido
Founded
1957
Universitario
Founded
1924
Match center
Coquimbo Unido
L
W
D
Coquimbo Unido
0:3
Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima
Coquimbo Unido
2:0
Universitario
Universitario
Coquimbo Unido
1:1
Club Nacional
Club Nacional
1
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.3
Conceded
4
Points
Universitario
W
L
D
D
L
Universitario
4:2
Club Nacional
Club Nacional
Universitario
0:2
Coquimbo Unido
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
0:0
Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
0:0
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
Universitario
0:4
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.6
Conceded
5
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyCoquimbo Unido - Universitario
Coquimbo Unido
1
matches total
Coquimbo Unido: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Universitario: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Coquimbo Unido 2:0 (15.04 02:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (2:0, 15.04 02:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Coquimbo Unido
2:0
Universitario
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Coquimbo Unido
Team 2
Universitario
Coquimbo Unido
Team comparison
Universitario
3
Games
3
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
1
3
Scored
4
4
Conceded
4
4
Points
4
0
Attacks
0
0
Dangerous attacks
0
0
Big chances
0
0
Shots on goal
0
4.67
Shots on target
5
Kokimbo Unido Universitario 3 Games 3 1 Wins 1 Draws 1 Losses 1 3 Scored 4 Conceded 4 Points 4 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 4.67 Udary v stvor 5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.67 Uglovye 6.33 2.67 Offsaydy 1.67 13 Foly 16 43.33 % vladeniya myachom 52.67 2 Warnings 2 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Aleks Valera 0:1 33' Guido Vadala Fransisko Salinas 1 50' Guido Vadala 2:1 72' Nakazaniya Matias di Benedetto 21' Andreson Santamariya 25' Aleks Valera 55' Manuel Fernandes 66'
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