CONMEBOL Libertadores
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Corinthians.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Korintians - Penyarol, 1 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Cup Libertadores 2026, Group E. 3 round. Korintians - Penyarol, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.60 62.5% | |
| X | 3.50 28.6% |
| 6.50 15.4% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.57 63.7% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.57 63.7% | |
| X | 3.45 29.0% | 3.48 28.7% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 7.00 14.3% | 6.63 15.1% | 5.75 17.4% | 7.50 13.3% | 7.20 13.9% | 6.50 15.4% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.45 69.0% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.44 69.4% |
| yes | 2.55 39.2% | 2.64 37.9% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.65 37.7% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.64 37.9% | 2.55 39.2% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.30 43.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.27 44.1% | 2.30 43.5% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.29 77.5% |
| home_draw | 1.10 90.9% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.10 90.9% |
Corinthians
Penarol
Corinthians
Santa Fe
Platense
Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC
UCV
Penarol
Platense
Santa Fe
Full head-to-head historyCorinthians - Penarol
Korintians Penyarol 2 Games 2 Wins 0 Draws 1 0 Losses 1 4 Scored 2 0 Conceded 3 6 Points 1 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 6.5 Udary v stvor 5.5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.5 Uglovye 2.5 0.5 Offsaydy 3 6.5 Foly 10.5 52.5 % vladeniya myachom 48 1 Warnings 2.5 0 Sendoffs 0.5 Sleduyuschiy match 22.05.2026 Cup Libertadores — 2026 Penyarol –:– Korintians Group E. 5 round Goly Gustavo Enrike Rodrigo Garro 1:0 11' Dzhessi Lingard 2:0 25' Nakazaniya Facundo Alvez 68' Jesus Trindade 76'
The Corinthians - Penarol breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
