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CONMEBOL Libertadores World

Group D. 6 round 29.05.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction

29.05.2026 00:30 UTC Group D. 6 round

Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cruzeiro - Barcelona SC

World Football

Cruzeiro

4 : 0

Finished

Barcelona SC

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cruzeiro - Barcelona SC May 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cruzeiro.

Line favourite market consensus: Cruzeiro. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.25 / X 5.44 / 2 11.47
1X2 market: Cruzeiro 74.5% / X 17.3% / Barcelona SC 8.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 50.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.1%

1 74.7%

X 17.2%

2 8.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%

Over 2.5 50.7%

Under 2.5 49.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Cruzeiro

Main outcome Cruzeiro

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center

Start 29.05.2026 00:30 UTC

Match center

Cruzeiro - Barcelona SC

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Kruzeyro - Barcelona, 29 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Cup Libertadores 2026, Group D. 6 round. Kruzeyro - Barcelona, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 4:0

Events 21

Statistics 22

Lineups 46

min Event Player Team

5' 5' Normal Goal Cruzeiro

35' 35' Yellow Card | Milton Celiz M. Céliz Barcelona SC

36' 36' Yellow Card | Lucas Romero Lucas Romero Cruzeiro

42' 42' Yellow Card | Fagner Fagner Cruzeiro

45' 45' Yellow Card | Alex Rangel A. Rangel Barcelona SC

45+4' 45+4' Goal Disallowed - offside | Kaio Jorge Kaio Jorge Cruzeiro

52' 52' Normal Goal | Christian | assist/sub out: Matheus Pereira Christian Cruzeiro

56' 56' Normal Goal | Luis Sinisterra Luis Sinisterra Cruzeiro

Metric Cruzeiro Barcelona SC SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 3.32 0.42 final

Zablokirovannye udary 5 1 final

Shots off target 8 7 final

Shots on target 8 2 final

Udary vsego 21 10 final

Fouls soversheno 9 9 final

Zheltye kartochki 3 3 final

Offsides 2 1 final

Cruzeiro #6 Kaiki, #8 Matheus Henrique, #17 Luis Sinisterra, #19 Kaio Jorge, #81 Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa, #10 Matheus Pereira, #29 Lucas Romero, #34 Jonathan Jesus, #15 Fabrício Bruno, #88 Christian, #23 Fagner

Barcelona SC #1 J. Contreras, #25 Ronald Perlaza, #28 J. QuiG±Gіnez, #51 Jefferson Wila, #14 A. Rangel, #21 H. Villalba, #32 Matias Lugo, #7 J. GGіmez, #8 M. CG©liz, #33 J. BGЎez, #18 B. CarabalG

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Rangel Barcelona SC football.player.minutes_played 93

B. Carabalí Barcelona SC football.player.minutes_played 93

G. Vallecilla Barcelona SC football.player.minutes_played 32

H. Villalba Barcelona SC football.player.minutes_played 61

J. Báez Barcelona SC football.player.minutes_played 93

J. Contreras Barcelona SC football.player.minutes_played 93

J. Gómez Barcelona SC football.player.minutes_played 93

J. MontaG±o Barcelona SC football.player.minutes_played 20

J. QuiG±Gіnez Barcelona SC football.player.minutes_played 73

Jefferson Wila Barcelona SC football.player.minutes_played 73

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 10.00 Fonbet · line only

1 1.05 Fonbet · line only

2 8.49 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.03 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.05 Fonbet · line only

X2 7.40 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 6.40 Fonbet · line only

2 0 8.00 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.07 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.04 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 3.50 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Yes 10.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.27 78.7%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.31 76.3%	1.25 80.0%
X	5.30 18.9%	6.05 16.5%	5.00 20.0%	5.75 17.4%	6.00 16.7%	5.00 20.0%
	10.50 9.5%	12.70 7.9%	11.00 9.1%	12.00 8.3%	10.75 9.3%	12.00 8.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.50 66.7%	1.46 68.5%	1.53 65.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.52 65.8%	1.50 66.7%	1.47 68.0%	1.45 69.0%	1.46 68.5%
yes	2.40 41.7%	2.53 39.5%	2.38 42.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.45 40.8%	2.40 41.7%	2.45 40.8%	2.51 39.8%	2.50 40.0%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	3.70 27.0%	4.00 25.0%	3.75 26.7%	3.50 28.6%	3.60 27.8%	3.75 26.7%
home_away	1.14 87.7%	1.13 88.5%	1.14 87.7%	1.17 85.5%	1.16 86.2%	1.14 87.7%
home_draw	1.03 97.1%	1.01 99.0%	1.05 95.2%	1.05 95.2%	1.06 94.3%	1.04 96.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.05 95.2%	1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75	—	1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0	—	1.00 100.0%
Over 1.25	—	1.12 89.3%
Over 1.5	1.28 78.1%	1.23 81.3%
Over 1.75	—	1.31 76.3%
Over 2.0	—	1.39 71.9%
Over 2.25	—	1.68 59.5%
Over 2.5	1.83 54.6%	—
Over 3.5	3.10 32.3%	—
Over 4.5	5.75 17.4%	—
Under 0.5	9.50 10.5%	—
Under 1.5	3.65 27.4%	—
Under 2.5	1.95 51.3%	—
Under 3.5	1.36 73.5%	—
Under 4.5	1.12 89.3%	—

Match center

Cruzeiro

D D W L W

20.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cruzeiro 1:1 Boca Juniors

07.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cruzeiro 0:0 U. Catolica

29.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cruzeiro 1:0 Boca Juniors

15.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cruzeiro 1:2 U. Catolica

08.04 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cruzeiro 1:0 Barcelona SC

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

0.8 Scored

0.6 Conceded

8 Points

Barcelona SC

L W L L L

22.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Barcelona SC 0:2 U. Catolica

06.05 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Barcelona SC 1:0 Boca Juniors

30.04 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Barcelona SC 1:2 U. Catolica

15.04 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Barcelona SC 0:3 Boca Juniors

08.04 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Barcelona SC 0:1 Cruzeiro

1 Wins

0 Draws

4 Losses

0.4 Scored

1.6 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCruzeiro - Barcelona SC

Cruzeiro

1 matches total

Barcelona SC

Cruzeiro: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Barcelona SC: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Cruzeiro 1:0 (08.04 00:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 08.04 00:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

08.04 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cruzeiro

1:0

Barcelona SC

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Cruzeiro

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Barcelona SC

5 Games 9

2 Wins 3

2 Draws 1

1 Losses 5

4 Scored 5

3 Conceded 10

8 Points 10

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

9 Shots on goal 0

2.2 Shots on target 2.4

0.22 Goly Mateus Pereyra Lemos Konserva Fagner 1:0 5' Christian Cardoso Mateus Pereyra 2:0 52' Luis Sinisterra Kayo Zhorzhe 3:0 55' Mateus Pereyra Lukas Vilyalba 4:0 72' Nakazaniya Milton Aaron Celiz 35' Lukas Daniel Romero 36' Lemos Konserva Fagner 42' Alex Rangel 45' Khose Kontreras 64' Neyser Vilyarreal 81'

Kruzeyro Barcelona 5 Games 9 2 Wins 3 2 Draws 1 Losses 5 4 Scored 5 3 Conceded 10 8 Points 10 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 9 Shots on goal 0 2.2 Udary v stvor 2.4 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 2 Uglovye 2.6 0.8 Offsaydy 1.6 9.4 Foly 9.2 52.8 % vladeniya myachom 46.6 3 Warnings 1.56 0.4 Sendoffs 0.22 Goly Mateus Pereyra Lemos Konserva Fagner 1:0 5' Christian Cardoso Mateus Pereyra 2:0 52' Luis Sinisterra Kayo Zhorzhe 3:0 55' Mateus Pereyra Lukas Vilyalba 4:0 72' Nakazaniya Milton Aaron Celiz 35' Lukas Daniel Romero 36' Lemos Konserva Fagner 42' Alex Rangel 45' Khose Kontreras 64' Neyser Vilyarreal 81'