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CONMEBOL Libertadores World

Group A. 5 round 21.05.2026 02:00 UTC Match prediction

21.05.2026 02:00 UTC Group A. 5 round

Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cusco - Independiente Medellin

World Football

Cusco

2 : 3

Finished

Independiente Medellin

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cusco - Independiente Medellin May 21, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cusco.

Line favourite market consensus: Cusco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.39 / X 3.28 / 2 2.93
1X2 market: Cusco 39.3% / X 28.6% / Independiente Medellin 32.1%
Total 2.5: over probability 52.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.5%

1 39.3%

X 28.6%

2 32.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.5%

Over 2.5 52.1%

Under 2.5 47.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Cusco

Main outcome Cusco

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 40.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center

Start 21.05.2026 02:00 UTC

Match center

Cusco - Independiente Medellin

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Kusko - Independente Medelin, 21 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Cup Libertadores 2026, Group A. 5 round. Kusko - Independente Medelin, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 4/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 2:3

Events 19

Statistics 22

Lineups 45

min Event Player Team

13' 13' Normal Goal | F. Fydriszewski F. Fydriszewski Independiente Medellin

46' 46' Substitution 1 | Diego Soto | assist/sub out: Joel Herrera D. Soto Cusco

46' 46' Substitution 2 | Jose Bolivar | assist/sub out: Marlon Ruidías J. Bolívar Cusco

51' 51' Yellow Card | J. Ortiz J. Ortiz Independiente Medellin

55' 55' Yellow Card | Gu-rum Choi G. Choi Cusco

60' 60' Yellow Card | F. Fydriszewski F. Fydriszewski Independiente Medellin

63' 63' Substitution 1 | D. Catano | assist/sub out: A. Serna D. CataG±o Independiente Medellin

67' 67' Yellow Card | A. Serna A. Serna Independiente Medellin

Metric Cusco Independiente Medellin SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.26 2.27 final

Zablokirovannye udary 2 3 final

Shots off target 4 3 final

Shots on target 6 5 final

Udary vsego 12 11 final

Fouls soversheno 9 10 final

Zheltye kartochki 1 3 final

Offsides 0 3 final

Cusco #7 J. Manzaneda, #11 J. Tévez, #15 J. Bolívar, #16 O. Valenzuela, #28 P. Díaz, #37 G. Choi, #88 D. Soto, #8 A. Fuentes, #10 I. Colman, #21 J. Zevallos, #22 L. Colitto

Independiente Medellin #10 D. CataG±o, #18 F. Fabra, #25 E. Chaux, #33 D. LondoG±o, #6 D. Moreno, #19 F. Fydriszewski, #24 J. Ortiz, #2 L. Chaverra, #11 Y. GonzGЎlez, #16 H. Loboa, #26 E. Mena

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Serna Independiente Medellin football.player.assists 0

A. Serna Independiente Medellin football.player.goals 1

A. Serna Independiente Medellin football.player.minutes_played 27

B. Perlaza Independiente Medellin football.player.assists 0

B. Perlaza Independiente Medellin football.player.goals 1

B. Perlaza Independiente Medellin football.player.minutes_played 12

D. CataG±o Independiente Medellin football.player.assists 0

D. CataG±o Independiente Medellin football.player.minutes_played 63

D. LondoG±o Independiente Medellin football.player.assists 0

D. LondoG±o Independiente Medellin football.player.minutes_played 90

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 9.50 Fonbet · line only

X 1.18 Fonbet · line only

1 7.90 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 4.30 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.05 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.07 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.17 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 2.17 Fonbet · line only

2 0 2.05 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 4.40 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 4.30 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.18 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.43 Fonbet · line only

Yes 2.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	2.36 42.4%	2.44 41.0%	2.38 42.0%	2.40 41.7%	2.40 41.7%	2.40 41.7%
X	3.35 29.9%	3.34 29.9%	3.10 32.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%	3.30 30.3%
	2.88 34.7%	3.00 33.3%	2.88 34.7%	2.88 34.7%	2.95 33.9%	2.88 34.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Superbet
no	2.20 45.5%	2.16 46.3%	2.20 45.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.25 44.4%	2.20 45.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.13 47.0%	2.15 46.5%
yes	1.60 62.5%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%	1.60 62.5%	1.60 62.5%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.55 64.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.60 62.5%	1.53 65.4%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.34 74.6%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.31 76.3%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.42 70.4%	1.44 69.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.05 95.2%	1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75	—	1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0	—	1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25	—	1.12 89.3%
Over 1.5	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%
Over 1.75	—	1.28 78.1%
Over 2.0	—	1.36 73.5%
Over 2.25	—	1.65 60.6%
Over 2.5	1.73 57.8%	—
Over 3.5	3.00 33.3%	—
Over 4.5	5.50 18.2%	—
Under 0.5	9.50 10.5%	—
Under 1.5	3.70 27.0%	—
Under 2.5	2.10 47.6%	—
Under 3.5	1.38 72.5%	—
Under 4.5	1.14 87.7%	—

Match center

Cusco

D L L L

06.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cusco 1:1 Estudiantes L.P.

01.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cusco 0:1 Independiente Medellin

14.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cusco 1:2 Estudiantes L.P.

09.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cusco 0:2 Flamengo

0 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

0.5 Scored

1.5 Conceded

1 Points

Independiente Medellin

W L D W D

01.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Independiente Medellin 1:0 Cusco

17.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Independiente Medellin 1:4 Flamengo

09.04 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Independiente Medellin 1:1 Estudiantes L.P.

13.03 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Independiente Medellin 2:1 Juventud

06.03 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Independiente Medellin 1:1 Juventud

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.4 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCusco - Independiente Medellin

Cusco

1 matches total

Independiente Medellin

Cusco: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Independiente Medellin: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Independiente Medellin 0:1 (01.05 02:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 01.05 02:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

01.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cusco

0:1

Independiente Medellin

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Cusco

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Independiente Medellin

4 Games 7

0 Wins 3

1 Draws 3

3 Losses 1

2 Scored 8

6 Conceded 8

1 Points 12

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

3.75 Shots on target 2.75

iya 0 Goly Francisco Fydriszewski Yoni Gonsales 0:1 13' Gu Rum Choi Guevara Ivan Colman 1 78' Baldomero Perlasa Francisco Chaverra 1:2 90+1' Aldair Fuentes Lukas Kolitto 2 90+4' Alexis Serna Halam Loboa 2:3 90+7' Nakazaniya Khose Ortis 51' Gu Rum Choi Guevara 55' Francisco Fydriszewski 60' Alexis Serna 67'

Kusko Independente Medelin 4 Games 7 0 Wins 3 1 Draws 3 Losses 1 2 Scored 8 6 Conceded 8 1 Points 12 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 3.75 Udary v stvor 2.75 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 2.25 Uglovye 3.75 3.75 Offsaydy 0.5 7.25 Foly 9.5 49 % vladeniya myachom 40.5 1.75 Warnings 1.14 0.25 Sendoffs 0 Goly Francisco Fydriszewski Yoni Gonsales 0:1 13' Gu Rum Choi Guevara Ivan Colman 1 78' Baldomero Perlasa Francisco Chaverra 1:2 90+1' Aldair Fuentes Lukas Kolitto 2 90+4' Alexis Serna Halam Loboa 2:3 90+7' Nakazaniya Khose Ortis 51' Gu Rum Choi Guevara 55' Francisco Fydriszewski 60' Alexis Serna 67'