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CONMEBOL Libertadores World

Group B. 4 round 07.05.2026 02:00 UTC Match prediction

07.05.2026 02:00 UTC Group B. 4 round

Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Deportes Tolima - Club Nacional

World Football

Deportes Tolima

3 : 0

Finished

Club Nacional

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Deportes Tolima - Club Nacional May 7, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Deportes Tolima.

Line favourite market consensus: Deportes Tolima. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.09 / X 3.10 / 2 3.77
1X2 market: Deportes Tolima 44.9% / X 30.3% / Club Nacional 24.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 59.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.6%

1 44.9%

X 30.3%

2 24.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%

Over 2.5 40.3%

Under 2.5 59.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 07.05.2026 02:00 UTC

Match center

Deportes Tolima - Club Nacional

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Deportes Tolima - Nasonal M, 7 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Cup Libertadores 2026, Group B. 4 round. Deportes Tolima - Nasonal M, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.82 market consensus · line only

X 5.80 Fonbet · line only

1 1.13 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

X2 1.71 market consensus · line only

12 1.33 market consensus · line only

1X 1.25 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.33 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.75 market consensus · line only

2 +1 7.20 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.34 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.58 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.74 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	2.04 49.0%	2.12 47.2%	2.10 47.6%	2.05 48.8%	2.10 47.6%	2.05 48.8%
X	3.15 31.8%	3.16 31.7%	2.90 34.5%	3.25 30.8%	3.10 32.3%	3.10 32.3%
	3.80 26.3%	3.93 25.5%	3.75 26.7%	3.90 25.6%	3.95 25.3%	3.75 26.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.73 57.8%	1.72 58.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.78 56.2%	1.73 57.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.74 57.5%
yes	2.00 50.0%	2.01 49.8%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	1.98 50.5%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.01 49.8%	1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.73 57.8%	1.74 57.5%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.78 56.2%	1.73 57.8%
home_away	1.30 76.9%	1.37 73.0%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.34 74.6%	1.33 75.2%
home_draw	1.25 80.0%	1.26 79.4%	1.25 80.0%	1.28 78.1%	1.27 78.7%	1.25 80.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.09 91.7%	1.05 95.2%
Over 0.75	—	1.07 93.5%
Over 1.0	—	1.09 91.7%
Over 1.25	—	1.25 80.0%
Over 1.5	1.45 69.0%	1.40 71.4%
Over 1.75	—	1.53 65.4%
Over 2.0	—	1.72 58.1%
Over 2.25	—	2.08 48.1%
Over 2.5	2.35 42.6%	—
Over 3.5	4.33 23.1%	—
Over 4.5	9.00 11.1%	—
Under 0.5	7.00 14.3%	—
Under 1.5	2.70 37.0%	—
Under 2.5	1.57 63.7%	—
Under 3.5	1.20 83.3%	—
Under 4.5	1.05 95.2%	—

Match center

Deportes Tolima

W L D W L

29.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Deportes Tolima 3:0 Coquimbo Unido

14.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Deportes Tolima 1:3 Club Nacional

08.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Deportes Tolima 0:0 Universitario

12.03 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Deportes Tolima 2:0 O'Higgins

05.03 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Deportes Tolima 0:1 O'Higgins

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

0.8 Conceded

7 Points

Club Nacional

L W D W L

30.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Club Nacional 2:4 Universitario

14.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Club Nacional 3:1 Deportes Tolima

08.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Club Nacional 1:1 Coquimbo Unido

28.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Club Nacional 1:0 Atletico Nacional

15.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Club Nacional 0:2 Internacional

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.6 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyDeportes Tolima - Club Nacional

Deportes Tolima

1 matches total

Club Nacional

Deportes Tolima: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Club Nacional: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Club Nacional 1:3 (14.04 22:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 14.04 22:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

14.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Deportes Tolima

1:3

Club Nacional

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Deportes Tolima

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Club Nacional

7 Games 3

3 Wins 1

1 Draws 1

3 Losses 1

7 Scored 6

5 Conceded 6

10 Points 4

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

4 Shots on target 5

iya 2.67 0.14 Sendoffs 0.33 Goly Luis Sandoval 1:0 45+7' Jherson Mosquera Khersson Gonsales 2:0 78' Khersson Gonsales Luis Sandoval 3:0 89' Nezabitye penalti Juan Pablo Torres 45+1' Nakazaniya Luis Sandoval 45+8' Brayan Rovira 45+9' Edvar Lopes 45+10' Sebastyan Koates 45+10' Alexander Dos Santos 64'

Deportes Tolima Nasonal M 7 Games 3 Wins 1 Draws 1 3 Losses 1 7 Scored 6 5 Conceded 6 10 Points 4 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 4 Udary v stvor 5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 2.67 Uglovye 6 1.33 Offsaydy 0.33 13.33 Foly 10.67 64.67 % vladeniya myachom 39.33 0.86 Warnings 2.67 0.14 Sendoffs 0.33 Goly Luis Sandoval 1:0 45+7' Jherson Mosquera Khersson Gonsales 2:0 78' Khersson Gonsales Luis Sandoval 3:0 89' Nezabitye penalti Juan Pablo Torres 45+1' Nakazaniya Luis Sandoval 45+8' Brayan Rovira 45+9' Edvar Lopes 45+10' Sebastyan Koates 45+10' Alexander Dos Santos 64'