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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
27.02.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Tachira FC

World Football
Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima
0 : 1
Finished
Deportivo Tachira FC
Deportivo Tachira FC

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Tachira FC February 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Deportes Tolima.

Line favourite market consensus: Deportes Tolima. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.49 / X 3.88 / 2 6.86
  • 1X2 market: Deportes Tolima 62.3% / X 24.0% / Deportivo Tachira FC 13.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.5%
1 62.5%
X 24.0%
2 13.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5 41.9%
Under 2.5 58.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.02.2026 00:30 UTC
Match center

Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Tachira FC

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.90 market consensus · line only
X 3.89 market consensus · line only
1 1.49 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.52 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.09 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.60 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.90 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.13 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.25 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.53 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.36 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.49 67.1%
X 3.98 25.1%
7.42 13.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.50 66.7% 1.48 67.6% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4%
X 3.85 26.0% 3.85 26.0% 4.00 25.0% 3.75 26.7% 4.00 25.0% 3.90 25.6%
6.80 14.7% 6.10 16.4% 7.15 14.0% 6.50 15.4% 6.25 16.0% 7.10 14.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.54 64.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.56 64.1%
yes 2.35 42.6% 2.40 41.7% 2.33 42.9% 2.30 43.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.37 42.2% 2.40 41.7% 2.33 42.9% 2.42 41.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.50 40.0% 2.53 39.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.57 38.9% 2.60 38.5%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Deportes Tolima
W L L
20.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Deportes Tolima 1:0 Deportivo Tachira FC
28.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Deportes Tolima 0:1 FBC MelgarFBC Melgar
21.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Deportes Tolima 0:1 FBC MelgarFBC Melgar
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.3 Scored
0.7 Conceded
3 Points
Deportivo Tachira FC
L W L L L
20.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Deportivo Tachira FC 0:1 Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
11.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Deportivo Tachira FC 1:0 The StrongestThe Strongest
04.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Deportivo Tachira FC 1:2 The StrongestThe Strongest
29.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Deportivo Tachira FC 0:1 FlamengoFlamengo
13.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Deportivo Tachira FC 1:2 Central Cordoba de Santiago
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDeportes Tolima - Deportivo Tachira FC

Deportes Tolima
1 matches total
Deportivo Tachira FC
Deportes Tolima: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Deportivo Tachira FC: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Deportes Tolima 1:0 (20.02 00:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 20.02 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

20.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Deportes Tolima
1:0
Deportivo Tachira FC