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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
20.02.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction
20.02.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Deportivo Tachira FC - Deportes Tolima

World Football
Deportivo Tachira FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
0 : 1
Finished
Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Deportivo Tachira FC - Deportes Tolima February 20, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Deportes Tolima.

Line favourite Fonbet: Deportes Tolima. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.20 / X 2.65 / 2 2.55
  • 1X2 market: Deportivo Tachira FC 28.9% / X 34.9% / Deportes Tolima 36.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 28.9%
X 34.9%
2 36.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 8.4%
Over 2.5 37.7%
Under 2.5 62.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.02.2026 00:30 UTC
Match center

Deportivo Tachira FC - Deportes Tolima

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.55 Fonbet · line only
X 2.65 Fonbet · line only
1 3.20 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.30 Fonbet · line only
12 1.42 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.36 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.08 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.48 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.45 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.03 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.30 30.3%
X 2.72 36.8%
2.64 37.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.30 30.3% 2.71 36.9% 3.30 30.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.35 29.9%
X 2.72 36.8% 2.85 35.1% 2.78 36.0% 2.80 35.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4%
2.52 39.7% 2.63 38.0% 2.64 37.9% 2.45 40.8% 2.40 41.7% 2.60 38.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.66 60.2%
yes 1.95 51.3% 2.04 49.0% 1.99 50.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.36 73.5%
home_away 1.38 72.5% 1.46 68.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4%
Match center
Deportivo Tachira FC
W L L L L
11.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Deportivo Tachira FC 1:0 The StrongestThe Strongest
04.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Deportivo Tachira FC 1:2 The StrongestThe Strongest
29.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Deportivo Tachira FC 0:1 FlamengoFlamengo
13.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Deportivo Tachira FC 1:2 Central Cordoba de Santiago
07.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Deportivo Tachira FC 2:3 LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
3 Points
Deportes Tolima
L L
28.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Deportes Tolima 0:1 FBC MelgarFBC Melgar
21.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Deportes Tolima 0:1 FBC MelgarFBC Melgar
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points