Match center
Start
26.09.2025 00:30 UTC
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26.09.2025 00:30 UTC
Finished
CONMEBOL Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. - Flamengo
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Estudiantes L.P. - Flamengo September 26, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Flamengo.
Line favourite market consensus: Flamengo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.52 / X 3.14 / 2 2.20
- 1X2 market: Estudiantes L.P. 26.9% / X 30.1% / Flamengo 43.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 61.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.7%
1
26.9%
X
30.1%
2
43.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5
38.7%
Under 2.5
61.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Estudiantes L.P. - Flamengo
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.20
market consensus · line only
X
3.14
market consensus · line only
1
3.52
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.30
market consensus · line only
12
1.37
market consensus · line only
1X
1.67
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.31
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.07
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.23
market consensus · line only
2 +1
3.54
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.46
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.55
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.73
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.05
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.35 29.9% | 3.56 28.1% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.52 28.4% | 3.66 27.3% | 3.66 27.3% | |
| X | 3.20 31.3% | 3.16 31.7% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.12 32.1% | 3.09 32.4% | 3.09 32.4% |
| 2.12 47.2% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.22 45.1% | 2.26 44.3% | 2.26 44.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.69 59.2% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.71 58.5% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.70 58.8% |
| yes | 2.13 47.0% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.05 48.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_away | 1.37 73.0% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.33 75.2% |
| home_draw | 1.66 60.2% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.67 59.9% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 0.75 | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.0 | — | 1.09 91.7% |
| Over 1.25 | — | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 1.5 | — | 1.42 70.4% |
| Over 1.75 | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 2.0 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.76 56.8% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 2.06 48.5% |
| Over 2.5 | — | 2.45 40.8% |
| Over 2.75 | — | 2.80 35.7% |
| Over 3.0 | — | 3.62 27.6% |
| Over 3.25 | — | 4.10 24.4% |
| Over 3.5 | — | 4.45 22.5% |
| Over 3.75 | — | 5.60 17.9% |
| Over 4.0 | — | 8.20 12.2% |
| Over 4.5 | — | 8.90 11.2% |
| Under 2.0 | 2.05 48.8% | — |
Match center
Estudiantes L.P.
L
D
W
W
L
Estudiantes L.P.
1:2
Flamengo
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
0:0
Cerro Porteno
Cerro Porteno
Estudiantes L.P.
1:0
Cerro Porteno
Cerro Porteno
Estudiantes L.P.
2:0
Carabobo FC
Carabobo FC
Estudiantes L.P.
2:3
Botafogo
Botafogo
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.2
Scored
1.0
Conceded
7
Points
Flamengo
W
W
W
W
W
Flamengo
2:1
Estudiantes L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
2:0
Internacional
Internacional
Flamengo
1:0
Internacional
Internacional
Flamengo
1:0
Deportivo Tachira FC
Flamengo
2:0
LDU de Quito
LDU de Quito
5
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
1.6
Scored
0.2
Conceded
15
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyEstudiantes L.P. - Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
matches total
Estudiantes L.P.: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Flamengo: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Flamengo 1:2 (19.09 00:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (1:2, 19.09 00:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Estudiantes L.P.
1:2
Flamengo
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