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CONMEBOL Libertadores World

Group A. 3 round 30.04.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction

30.04.2026 00:30 UTC Group A. 3 round

Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Estudiantes L.P. - Flamengo

World Football

Estudiantes L.P.

1 : 1

Finished

Flamengo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Estudiantes L.P. - Flamengo April 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Flamengo.

Line favourite market consensus: Flamengo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.48 / X 2.95 / 2 2.29
1X2 market: Estudiantes L.P. 27.1% / X 31.9% / Flamengo 41.1%
Total 2.5: over probability 62.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.3%

1 27.0%

X 31.9%

2 41.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%

Over 2.5 37.4%

Under 2.5 62.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 30.04.2026 00:30 UTC

Match center

Estudiantes L.P. - Flamengo

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Estudiantes LP - Flamengo, 30 aprelya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Cup Libertadores 2026, Group A. 3 round. Estudiantes LP - Flamengo, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.29 market consensus · line only

X 2.95 market consensus · line only

1 3.48 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.29 market consensus · line only

12 1.36 market consensus · line only

1X 1.60 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.31 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.06 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.22 market consensus · line only

2 +1 3.69 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.51 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.50 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.69 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	3.50 28.6%
X	3.00 33.3%
	2.30 43.5%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	3.55 28.2%	3.60 27.8%	3.10 32.3%	3.60 27.8%	3.75 26.7%	3.50 28.6%
X	2.96 33.8%	3.02 33.1%	2.75 36.4%	3.00 33.3%	3.05 32.8%	2.88 34.7%
	2.22 45.1%	2.31 43.3%	2.45 40.8%	2.25 44.4%	2.32 43.1%	2.25 44.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.67 59.9%	1.69 59.2%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.72 58.1%	1.65 60.6%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.74 57.5%
yes	2.10 47.6%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.10 47.6%	2.05 48.8%	2.10 47.6%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	1.96 51.0%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.33 75.2%	1.28 78.1%	1.31 76.3%	1.30 76.9%
home_away	1.33 75.2%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.37 73.0%	1.33 75.2%
home_draw	1.65 60.6%	1.63 61.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.62 61.7%	1.65 60.6%	1.67 59.9%

Match center

Estudiantes L.P.

W D W L D

14.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Estudiantes L.P. 2:1 Cusco

09.04 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Estudiantes L.P. 1:1 Independiente Medellin

26.09 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Estudiantes L.P. 1:0 Flamengo

19.09 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Estudiantes L.P. 1:2 Flamengo

20.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Estudiantes L.P. 0:0 Cerro Porteno

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

0.8 Conceded

8 Points

Flamengo

W W W D W

17.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Flamengo 4:1 Independiente Medellin

09.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Flamengo 2:0 Cusco

29.11 21:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Flamengo 1:0 Palmeiras

30.10 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Flamengo 0:0 Racing Club

23.10 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Flamengo 1:0 Racing Club

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

1.6 Scored

0.2 Conceded

13 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyEstudiantes L.P. - Flamengo

Estudiantes L.P.

2 matches total

Flamengo

Estudiantes L.P.: 1 (50%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Flamengo: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Estudiantes L.P. 1:0 (26.09 00:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 19.09 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

26.09 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Estudiantes L.P.

1:0

Flamengo

19.09 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Estudiantes L.P.

1:2

Flamengo

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Estudiantes L.P.

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Flamengo

2 Games 2

1 Wins 2

1 Draws 0

0 Losses 0

3 Scored 6

2 Conceded 1

4 Points 6

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

8 Shots on target 10

ruppa A. 5 round Goly Luis Arauzho Bruno Enrike 0:1 33' Guido Carrillo 1 55' Nakazaniya Tyago Palasios 20' Fakundo Farias 38' Emerson Royal 62' Tyago Palasios 62' Gabriel Neves 74' Ezequiel Piovi 85'

Estudiantes LP Flamengo 2 Games 2 1 Wins 2 1 Draws 0 Losses 0 3 Scored 6 2 Conceded 1 4 Points 6 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 8 Udary v stvor 10 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 2.5 Uglovye 5.5 1 Offsaydy 2.5 13 Foly 6.5 47 % vladeniya myachom 54.5 3.5 Warnings 0.5 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 21.05.2026 Cup Libertadores — 2026 Flamengo –:– Estudiantes LP Group A. 5 round Goly Luis Arauzho Bruno Enrike 0:1 33' Guido Carrillo 1 55' Nakazaniya Tyago Palasios 20' Fakundo Farias 38' Emerson Royal 62' Tyago Palasios 62' Gabriel Neves 74' Ezequiel Piovi 85'