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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
19.09.2025 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Flamengo - Estudiantes L.P.

World Football
Flamengo
Flamengo
2 : 1
Finished
Estudiantes L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Flamengo - Estudiantes L.P. September 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Flamengo.

Line favourite market consensus: Flamengo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.32 / X 4.67 / 2 11.13
  • 1X2 market: Flamengo 71.3% / X 20.2% / Estudiantes L.P. 8.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 71.4%
X 20.2%
2 8.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.9%
Over 2.5 42.7%
Under 2.5 57.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.09.2025 00:30 UTC
Match center

Flamengo - Estudiantes L.P.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.64 market consensus · line only
X 4.67 market consensus · line only
1 1.32 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.26 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 1.05 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.34 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.46 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 8.20 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.32 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.38 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.34 74.6% 1.31 76.3% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1%
X 4.55 22.0% 4.60 21.7% 4.81 20.8% 4.40 22.7% 5.00 20.0% 4.85 20.6%
10.75 9.3% 10.00 10.0% 11.60 8.6% 11.00 9.1% 10.00 10.0% 13.00 7.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
no 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.39 71.9%
yes 2.75 36.4% 3.10 32.3% 2.80 35.7% 2.63 38.0% 3.00 33.3% 2.87 34.8% 2.88 34.7% 3.25 30.8% 2.76 36.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 3.10 32.3% 3.34 29.9% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 2.85 35.1%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.05 95.2% 1.03 97.1% 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.06 94.3% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25 1.20 83.3%
Over 1.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 2.0 1.80 55.6%
Over 2.25 2.01 49.8%
Over 2.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 3.5 4.20 23.8%
Over 4.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 1.5 2.90 34.5%
Under 2.0 2.09 47.9%
Under 2.25 1.88 53.2%
Under 2.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 3.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 4.5 1.06 94.3%
Match center
Flamengo
W W W W D
21.08 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Flamengo 2:0 InternacionalInternacional
14.08 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Flamengo 1:0 InternacionalInternacional
29.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Flamengo 1:0 Deportivo Tachira FC
16.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Flamengo 2:0 LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
08.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Flamengo 1:1 Central Cordoba de Santiago
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.2 Conceded
13 Points
Estudiantes L.P.
D W W L W
20.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. 0:0 Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
13.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. 1:0 Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
28.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. 2:0 Carabobo FCCarabobo FC
15.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. 2:3 BotafogoBotafogo
08.05 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. 3:0 Universidad de Chile
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points