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CONMEBOL Libertadores World

Group A. 5 round 21.05.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction

21.05.2026 00:30 UTC Group A. 5 round

Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Flamengo - Estudiantes L.P.

World Football

Flamengo

1 : 0

Finished

Estudiantes L.P.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Flamengo - Estudiantes L.P. May 21, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Flamengo.

Line favourite market consensus: Flamengo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.51 / X 3.85 / 2 7.02
1X2 market: Flamengo 62.3% / X 24.3% / Estudiantes L.P. 13.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.4%

1 62.2%

X 24.4%

2 13.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%

Over 2.5 42.4%

Under 2.5 57.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Flamengo

Main outcome Flamengo

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 40.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center

Start 21.05.2026 00:30 UTC

Match center

Flamengo - Estudiantes L.P.

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Flamengo - Estudiantes LP, 21 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Cup Libertadores 2026, Group A. 5 round. Flamengo - Estudiantes LP, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 1:0

Events 19

Statistics 22

Lineups 45

min Event Player Team

1' 1' Yellow Card | Lucas Ezequiel Piovi L. Piovi Estudiantes L.P.

37' 37' Yellow Card | E. Meza E. Meza Estudiantes L.P.

48' 48' Yellow Card | Evertton Araujo Evertton Araujo Flamengo

52' 52' Yellow Card | Luiz Araujo Luiz Araujo Flamengo

58' 58' Yellow Card | T. Palacios T. Palacios Estudiantes L.P.

60' 60' Substitution 1 | Luiz Araujo | assist/sub out: Samuel Lino Luiz Araujo Flamengo

60' 60' Substitution 2 | Evertton Araujo | assist/sub out: Lucas Paqueta Evertton Araujo Flamengo

65' 65' Normal Goal | Pedro Pedro Flamengo

Metric Flamengo Estudiantes L.P. SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.21 0.89 final

Zablokirovannye udary 1 3 final

Shots off target 8 4 final

Shots on target 4 1 final

Udary vsego 13 8 final

Fouls soversheno 9 13 final

Zheltye kartochki 2 5 final

Offsides 2 1 final

Flamengo #1 A. Rossi, #6 Ayrton Lucas, #9 Pedro, #21 Jorginho, #27 Bruno Henrique, #4 Léo Pereira, #15 J. Carrascal, #52 Evertton Araujo, #3 Leo Ortiz, #7 Luiz Araujo, #22 Emerson Royal

Estudiantes L.P. #9 G. Carrillo, #16 F. Muslera, #22 A. Castro, #24 T. Palacios, #28 B. Aguirre, #14 L. Gonzalez Pirez, #21 L. Piovi, #32 M. Amondarain, #4 S. Nunez, #10 T. Palacios, #20 E. Meza

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Castro Estudiantes L.P. football.player.minutes_played 72

A. Gaich Estudiantes L.P. football.player.minutes_played 7

B. Aguirre Estudiantes L.P. football.player.minutes_played 72

E. Cetre Estudiantes L.P. football.player.minutes_played 24

E. Meza Estudiantes L.P. football.player.minutes_played 96

F. Farias Estudiantes L.P. football.player.minutes_played 24

F. Muslera Estudiantes L.P. football.player.minutes_played 96

G. Carrillo Estudiantes L.P. football.player.minutes_played 96

Gabriel Neves Estudiantes L.P. football.player.minutes_played 11

L. Gonzalez Pirez Estudiantes L.P. football.player.minutes_played 96

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 4.60 Fonbet · line only

1 1.06 Fonbet · line only

2 7.02 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.15 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only

X2 6.50 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 2.60 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 10.00 Fonbet · line only

2 0 9.00 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.43 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.27 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 3.25 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.75 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.51 66.2%	1.54 64.9%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.50 66.7%
X	3.95 25.3%	3.95 25.3%	3.60 27.8%	4.00 25.0%	4.15 24.1%	3.60 27.8%
	6.40 15.6%	7.10 14.1%	6.50 15.4%	7.50 13.3%	7.20 13.9%	7.00 14.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Superbet
no	1.55 64.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.55 64.5%	1.56 64.1%
yes	2.30 43.5%	2.26 44.3%	2.20 45.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.35 42.6%	2.25 44.4%	2.30 43.5%	2.26 44.3%	2.32 43.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.50 40.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.45 40.8%	2.50 40.0%	2.57 38.9%	2.40 41.7%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.26 79.4%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.23 81.3%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.10 90.9%	1.10 90.9%	1.10 90.9%	1.11 90.1%	1.13 88.5%	1.10 90.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.07 93.5%	1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75	—	1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0	—	1.05 95.2%
Over 1.25	—	1.20 83.3%
Over 1.5	1.40 71.4%	1.35 74.1%
Over 1.75	—	1.46 68.5%
Over 2.0	—	1.62 61.7%
Over 2.25	—	1.98 50.5%
Over 2.5	2.20 45.5%	—
Over 3.5	4.20 23.8%	—
Over 4.5	8.50 11.8%	—
Under 0.5	8.00 12.5%	—
Under 1.5	2.90 34.5%	—
Under 2.5	1.65 60.6%	—
Under 3.5	1.22 82.0%	—
Under 4.5	1.06 94.3%	—

Match center

Flamengo

D W W W D

30.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Flamengo 1:1 Estudiantes L.P.

17.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Flamengo 4:1 Independiente Medellin

09.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Flamengo 2:0 Cusco

29.11 21:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Flamengo 1:0 Palmeiras

30.10 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Flamengo 0:0 Racing Club

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

1.6 Scored

0.4 Conceded

11 Points

Estudiantes L.P.

D D W D W

06.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Estudiantes L.P. 1:1 Cusco

30.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Estudiantes L.P. 1:1 Flamengo

14.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Estudiantes L.P. 2:1 Cusco

09.04 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Estudiantes L.P. 1:1 Independiente Medellin

26.09 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Estudiantes L.P. 1:0 Flamengo

2 Wins

3 Draws

0 Losses

1.2 Scored

0.8 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyFlamengo - Estudiantes L.P.

Flamengo

3 matches total

Estudiantes L.P.

Flamengo: 1 (33.3%)

Draws:1 (33.3%)

Estudiantes L.P.: 1 (33.4%)

Biggest win Estudiantes L.P. 0:1 (26.09 00:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 19.09 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (30.04 00:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 3

Match history

30.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Flamengo

1:1

Estudiantes L.P.

26.09 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Flamengo

0:1

Estudiantes L.P.

19.09 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Flamengo

2:1

Estudiantes L.P.

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Flamengo

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Estudiantes L.P.

3 Games 4

2 Wins 1

1 Draws 3

0 Losses 0

7 Scored 5

2 Conceded 4

7 Points 6

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

6.25 Shots on target 5.75

duprezhdeniya 3.75 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Pedro Abreu 1:0 65' Nakazaniya Ezequiel Piovi 1' Erik Mesa 37' Everton Arauzho 48' Luis Arauzho 52' Tyago Palasios 58' Tyago Palasios 75' Leandro Gonsales Pires 90'

Flamengo Estudiantes LP 3 Games 4 2 Wins 1 Draws 3 0 Losses 0 7 Scored 5 2 Conceded 4 7 Points 6 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 6.25 Udary v stvor 5.75 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.25 Uglovye 4 1.5 Offsaydy 0.75 4.5 Foly 11.25 37.5 % vladeniya myachom 48 0.67 Warnings 3.75 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Pedro Abreu 1:0 65' Nakazaniya Ezequiel Piovi 1' Erik Mesa 37' Everton Arauzho 48' Luis Arauzho 52' Tyago Palasios 58' Tyago Palasios 75' Leandro Gonsales Pires 90'