Match center
Start
19.09.2024 22:00 UTC
19.09.2024 22:00 UTC
Finished
CONMEBOL Libertadores
Flamengo - Penarol
0
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Flamengo - Penarol 19 сентября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Flamengo.
Line favourite market consensus: Flamengo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.48 / X 4.06 / 2 8.41
- 1X2 market: Flamengo 64.9% / X 23.7% / Penarol 11.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 62.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.1%
1
64.9%
X
23.7%
2
11.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5
37.6%
Under 2.5
62.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Flamengo - Penarol
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
8.41
market consensus · line only
X
4.06
market consensus · line only
1
1.48
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.82
market consensus · line only
12
1.25
market consensus · line only
1X
1.11
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.57
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.55
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.48 67.6% |
| Х | 4.06 24.6% |
| П2 | 8.41 11.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.82 35.5% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 1.11 90.1% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 2.57 38.9% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.14 87.7% |
| П2 | 6.45 15.5% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFlamengo - Penarol
Flamengo
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals