CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
18.09.2024 22:00 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Fluminense - Atletico-MG

World Futbol
Fluminense
Fluminense
1 : 0
Finished
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fluminense - Atletico-MG 18 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fluminense.

Line favourite market consensus: Fluminense. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.63 / X 2.70 / 2 3.54
  • 1X2 market: Fluminense 36.8% / X 35.9% / Atletico-MG 27.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 36.8%
X 35.9%
2 27.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.09.2024 22:00 UTC
Match center

Fluminense - Atletico-MG

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.54 market consensus · line only
X 2.70 market consensus · line only
1 2.63 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.53 market consensus · line only
12 1.50 market consensus · line only
1X 1.33 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.63 38.0%
Х 2.70 37.0%
П2 3.54 28.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.50 66.7%
home_draw 1.33 75.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 1.5 1.79 55.9%
ТМ 1.5 2.10 47.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.67 59.9%
П2 2.27 44.1%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFluminense - Atletico-MG

Fluminense
0 matches total
Atletico-MG
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history