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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
Group C. 5 round 19.05.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
19.05.2026 22:00 UTC Group C. 5 round
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Fluminense - Bolivar

World Football
Fluminense
Fluminense
2 : 1
Finished
Bolivar
Bolivar

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fluminense - Bolivar May 19, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fluminense.

Line favourite market consensus: Fluminense. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.16 / X 7.10 / 2 16.65
  • 1X2 market: Fluminense 80.9% / X 13.3% / Bolivar 5.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.3%
1 81.1%
X 13.3%
2 5.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.0%
Over 2.5 62.8%
Under 2.5 37.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.05.2026 22:00 UTC
Match center

Fluminense - Bolivar

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Fluminense - Bolivar, 20 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Cup Libertadores 2026, Group C. 5 round. Fluminense - Bolivar, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 2.55 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.50 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X2 4.70 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1 5.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 8.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.13 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.37 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.85 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.18 84.8% 1.15 87.0% 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5%
X 6.40 15.6% 8.05 12.4% 7.00 14.3% 7.00 14.3% 7.40 13.5% 6.50 15.4%
15.50 6.5% 19.50 5.1% 17.00 5.9% 19.00 5.3% 17.00 5.9% 15.00 6.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 1.60 62.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4%
yes 2.20 45.5% 2.31 43.3% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.31 43.3% 2.30 43.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 4.75 21.1% 5.55 18.0% 5.00 20.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.90 20.4% 4.50 22.2%
home_away 1.10 90.9% 1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9%
home_draw 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0% 1.04 96.2% 1.03 97.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 — 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.5 1.15 87.0% 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.75 — 1.13 88.5%
Over 2.0 — 1.16 86.2%
Over 2.5 1.50 66.7% —
Over 3.5 2.20 45.5% —
Over 4.5 3.75 26.7% —
Over 5.5 7.00 14.3% —
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1% —
Under 1.5 5.25 19.1% —
Under 2.5 2.55 39.2% —
Under 3.5 1.65 60.6% —
Under 4.5 1.25 80.0% —
Under 5.5 1.09 91.7% —
Match center
Fluminense
D L L D L
07.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Fluminense 1:1 Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia
30.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Fluminense 0:2 BolívarBolívar
16.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Fluminense 1:2 Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia
07.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Fluminense 0:0 Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira
25.09 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Fluminense 0:2 Atletico-MG
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
2 Points
Bolivar
D W D L W
06.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Bolivar 1:1 Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira
30.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Bolivar 2:0 FluminenseFluminense
15.04 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Bolivar 1:1 Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira
07.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Bolivar 0:1 Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia
29.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Bolivar 4:0 Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFluminense - Bolivar

Fluminense
1 matches total
Bolivar
Fluminense: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Bolivar: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Bolívar 0:2 (30.04 22:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 30.04 22:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

30.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Fluminense
0:2
Bolívar
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Fluminense
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Bolivar
Fluminense Team comparison Bolivar
4 Games 4
0 Wins 1
2 Draws 2
2 Losses 1
2 Scored 4
5 Conceded 3
2 Points 5
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
11 Shots on goal 0
4.75 Shots on target 6.5
niya 1.5 0.25 Sendoffs 0.25 Goly Lusiano Akosta 1:0 6' Karlos Melgar Dorni Romero 1 24' Dzhon Kennedi 2:1 71' Nakazaniya Khuan Freytes 13' Santiago Echeverria 31' Lusiano Akosta 43' Guga 44' Dorni Romero 49' Dzhon Kennedi 76' Ganso 82'

Fluminense Bolivar 4 Games 4 0 Wins 1 2 Draws 2 Losses 1 2 Scored 4 5 Conceded 3 2 Points 5 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 11 Shots on goal 0 4.75 Udary v stvor 6.5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3 Uglovye 6.25 0.25 Offsaydy 2.25 10.75 Foly 10.75 64 % vladeniya myachom 59.75 1.75 Warnings 1.5 0.25 Sendoffs 0.25 Goly Lusiano Akosta 1:0 6' Karlos Melgar Dorni Romero 1 24' Dzhon Kennedi 2:1 71' Nakazaniya Khuan Freytes 13' Santiago Echeverria 31' Lusiano Akosta 43' Guga 44' Dorni Romero 49' Dzhon Kennedi 76' Ganso 82'