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CONMEBOL Libertadores World

Group H. 5 round 20.05.2026 02:00 UTC Match prediction

20.05.2026 02:00 UTC Group H. 5 round

Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Independiente del Valle - Libertad Asuncion

World Football

Independiente del Valle

4 : 1

Finished

Libertad Asuncion

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Independiente del Valle - Libertad Asuncion May 20, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Independiente del Valle.

Line favourite market consensus: Independiente del Valle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.32 / X 5.19 / 2 8.94
1X2 market: Independiente del Valle 71.3% / X 18.1% / Libertad Asuncion 10.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 58.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.2%

1 71.3%

X 18.1%

2 10.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%

Over 2.5 58.6%

Under 2.5 41.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 20.05.2026 02:00 UTC

Match center

Independiente del Valle - Libertad Asuncion

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Independente del Vale - Libertad, 20 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Cup Libertadores 2026, Group H. 5 round. Independente del Vale - Libertad, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 10.00 Fonbet · line only

X 4.30 Fonbet · line only

1 1.04 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.20 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.06 Fonbet · line only

X2 7.50 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 5.40 Fonbet · line only

2 0 6.30 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.10 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.07 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 2.90 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.43 Fonbet · line only

Yes 2.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.32 75.8%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.33 75.2%	1.35 74.1%	1.29 77.5%
X	5.20 19.2%	5.55 18.0%	4.80 20.8%	5.00 20.0%	5.40 18.5%	5.00 20.0%
	8.40 11.9%	9.10 11.0%	8.50 11.8%	9.50 10.5%	10.50 9.5%	9.50 10.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Superbet
no	1.77 56.5%	1.79 55.9%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.75 57.1%	1.78 56.2%	1.77 56.5%	1.78 56.2%
yes	1.93 51.8%	1.92 52.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	1.93 51.8%	1.95 51.3%	1.91 52.4%	1.92 52.1%	1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	3.35 29.9%	3.38 29.6%	3.20 31.3%	3.25 30.8%	3.45 29.0%	3.50 28.6%
home_away	1.15 87.0%	1.15 87.0%	1.17 85.5%	1.17 85.5%	1.16 86.2%	1.14 87.7%
home_draw	1.05 95.2%	1.05 95.2%	1.06 94.3%	1.07 93.5%	1.08 92.6%	1.06 94.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.04 96.2%	1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0	—	1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25	—	1.07 93.5%
Over 1.5	1.20 83.3%	1.15 87.0%
Over 1.75	—	1.19 84.0%
Over 2.0	—	1.24 80.7%
Over 2.25	—	1.47 68.0%
Over 2.5	1.62 61.7%	1.63 61.4%
Over 3.5	2.55 39.2%	—
Over 4.5	4.33 23.1%	—
Under 0.5	10.00 10.0%	—
Under 1.5	4.33 23.1%	—
Under 2.5	2.25 44.4%	—
Under 3.5	1.50 66.7%	—
Under 4.5	1.20 83.3%	—

Match center

Independiente del Valle

L W W D W

06.05 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Independiente del Valle 0:2 UCV

28.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Independiente del Valle 3:2 Libertad Asuncion

16.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Independiente del Valle 3:1 UCV

09.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Independiente del Valle 0:0 Rosario Central

28.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Independiente del Valle 2:1 Barcelona SC

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.2 Conceded

10 Points

Libertad Asuncion

L L L L D

05.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Libertad Asuncion 0:1 Rosario Central

28.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Libertad Asuncion 2:3 Independiente del Valle

15.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Libertad Asuncion 0:1 Rosario Central

09.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Libertad Asuncion 1:3 UCV

22.08 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Libertad Asuncion 1:1 River Plate

0 Wins

1 Draws

4 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.8 Conceded

1 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyIndependiente del Valle - Libertad Asuncion

Independiente del Valle

1 matches total

Libertad Asuncion

Independiente del Valle: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Libertad Asuncion: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Independiente del Valle 3:2 (28.04 22:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 28.04 22:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

28.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Independiente del Valle

3:2

Libertad Asuncion

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Independiente del Valle

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Libertad Asuncion

4 Games 4

2 Wins 0

1 Draws 0

1 Losses 4

6 Scored 3

5 Conceded 8

7 Points 0

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 12

6.25 Shots on target 3.5

zhdeniya 2.75 0.5 Sendoffs 0 Goly Khunior Sornosa 1:0 38' Carlos Gonzalez Khunior Sornosa 2:0 43' Lorenzo Melgarejo 2:1 45+3' Justin Lerma 3:1 64' Dzhorkaeff Reasko Matias Perello 4:1 90+5' Nakazaniya Gustavo Aguilar 68'

Independente del Vale Libertad 4 Games 4 2 Wins 0 1 Draws 0 1 Losses 4 6 Scored 3 5 Conceded 8 7 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 12 6.25 Udary v stvor 3.5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 7.25 Uglovye 3.25 1.25 Offsaydy 1.75 6.5 Foly 11.5 61 % vladeniya myachom 43.5 1.5 Warnings 2.75 0.5 Sendoffs 0 Goly Khunior Sornosa 1:0 38' Carlos Gonzalez Khunior Sornosa 2:0 43' Lorenzo Melgarejo 2:1 45+3' Justin Lerma 3:1 64' Dzhorkaeff Reasko Matias Perello 4:1 90+5' Nakazaniya Gustavo Aguilar 68'