CONMEBOL Libertadores
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Independiente Medellin.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Independente Medelin - Kusko, 1 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Cup Libertadores 2026, Group A. 3 round. Independente Medelin - Kusko, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.38 72.5% | |
| X | 5.00 20.0% |
| 7.50 13.3% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.35 74.1% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.33 75.2% | |
| X | 4.70 21.3% | 4.81 20.8% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.75 21.1% |
| 8.70 11.5% | 8.35 12.0% | 8.00 12.5% | 7.50 13.3% | 8.50 11.8% | 8.00 12.5% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.76 56.8% |
| yes | 1.91 52.4% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.91 52.4% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.93 51.8% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.10 32.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.95 33.9% | 3.20 31.3% |
| home_away | 1.14 87.7% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.17 85.5% |
| home_draw | 1.06 94.3% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.07 93.5% |
Independiente Medellin
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Full head-to-head historyIndependiente Medellin - Cusco
Independente Medelin Kusko 6 Games 2 Wins 0 3 Draws 0 1 Losses 2 7 Scored 1 8 Conceded 4 9 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 3 Udary v stvor 2 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.5 Uglovye 2.5 1 Offsaydy 4 14 Foly 9.5 52.5 % vladeniya myachom 46 0.83 Warnings 2 0 Sendoffs 0.5 Sleduyuschiy match 21.05.2026 Cup Libertadores — 2026 Kusko –:– Independente Medelin Group A. 5 round Goly Francisco Fydriszewski John Edwin Montano Preciado 1:0 87' Nakazaniya Jose Zevallos 63' Francisco Chaverra 63' Pedro Diaz 74' Hayen Palacios 79' Frank Fabra 90+3'
The Independiente Medellin - Cusco breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
