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Start
25.02.2026 00:30 UTC
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25.02.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished
CONMEBOL Libertadores
Independiente Medellin - Liverpool Montevideo
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Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Independiente Medellin - Liverpool Montevideo February 25, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Independiente Medellin.
Line favourite market consensus: Independiente Medellin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.44 / X 4.15 / 2 6.94
- 1X2 market: Independiente Medellin 64.3% / X 22.4% / Liverpool Montevideo 13.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 53.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.0%
1
64.3%
X
22.3%
2
13.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5
47.1%
Under 2.5
52.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Independiente Medellin - Liverpool Montevideo
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.98
market consensus · line only
X
4.16
market consensus · line only
1
1.44
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.69
market consensus · line only
12
1.20
market consensus · line only
1X
1.09
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.74
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.03
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
6.25
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.43
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.00
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.78
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.61
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.20
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.44 69.4% | |
| X | 4.31 23.2% |
| 7.55 13.3% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.51 66.2% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.46 68.5% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.47 68.0% | |
| X | 4.00 25.0% | 4.25 23.5% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.15 24.1% |
| 6.40 15.6% | 6.50 15.4% | 7.65 13.1% | 7.00 14.3% | 6.25 16.0% | 6.70 14.9% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.62 61.7% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.62 61.7% |
| yes | 2.15 46.5% | 2.22 45.1% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.29 43.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.62 38.2% | 2.76 36.2% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.72 36.8% | 2.75 36.4% |
| home_away | 1.17 85.5% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.20 83.3% |
| home_draw | 1.10 90.9% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.08 92.6% |
Match center
Independiente Medellin
W
Independiente Medellin
2:1
Liverpool Montevideo
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Liverpool Montevideo
L
Liverpool Montevideo
1:2
Independiente Medellin
Independiente Medellin
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyIndependiente Medellin - Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
1
matches total
Independiente Medellin: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Liverpool Montevideo: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Independiente Medellin 2:1 (18.02 00:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (2:1, 18.02 00:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Independiente Medellin
2:1
Liverpool Montevideo
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