Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

CONMEBOL Libertadores World

Group F. 5 round 21.05.2026 02:00 UTC Match prediction

21.05.2026 02:00 UTC Group F. 5 round

Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Junior - Sporting Cristal

World Football

Junior

3 : 2

Finished

Sporting Cristal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Junior - Sporting Cristal May 21, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Junior.

Line favourite market consensus: Junior. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.76 / X 3.58 / 2 4.67
1X2 market: Junior 53.5% / X 26.3% / Sporting Cristal 20.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 52.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.2%

1 53.5%

X 26.3%

2 20.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%

Over 2.5 47.8%

Under 2.5 52.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Junior

Main outcome Junior

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 40.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 21.05.2026 02:00 UTC

Match center

Junior - Sporting Cristal

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Khunior - Sporting Kristal, 21 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Cup Libertadores 2026, Group F. 5 round. Khunior - Sporting Kristal, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 4/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 3:2

Events 18

Statistics 22

Lineups 46

min Event Player Team

9' 9' Normal Goal | L. Muriel L. Muriel Junior

28' 28' Normal Goal | K. Perez K. Pérez Junior

36' 36' Normal Goal | L. Muriel | assist/sub out: E. Herrera L. Muriel Junior

45' 45' Normal Goal | Y. Yotún | assist/sub out: Gustavo Cazonatti Y. Yotún Sporting Cristal

46' 46' Substitution 1 | A. Pósito | assist/sub out: Cris Silva A. Pósito Sporting Cristal

46' 46' Substitution 2 | L. Sosa | assist/sub out: Gabriel L. Sosa Sporting Cristal

46' 46' Substitution 3 | I. Ávila | assist/sub out: Felipe Vizeu I. Ávila Sporting Cristal

55' 55' Substitution 1 | J. Rivas | assist/sub out: F. S. Angel Bernal J. Rivas Junior

Metric Junior Sporting Cristal SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 2.04 1.24 final

Zablokirovannye udary 3 4 final

Shots off target 6 10 final

Shots on target 8 5 final

Udary vsego 17 19 final

Fouls soversheno 13 10 final

Zheltye kartochki 2 1 final

Offsides 3 3 final

Junior #10 L. Muriel, #18 K. Pérez, #22 J. Rivas, #27 J. Navia, #30 J. Martinez, #5 D. Rivera, #7 H. Rivera, #8 Y. Chara, #21 J. Canchimbo, #24 J. Pestana, #3 E. Herrera

Sporting Cristal #1 D. Enríquez, #5 R. Lutiger, #11 I. Ávila, #18 J. González, #25 G. Távara, #19 Y. Yotún, #55 Gustavo Cazonatti, #96 L. Abram, #15 A. Pósito, #23 M. Castro, #8 L. Sosa

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Pósito Sporting Cristal football.player.assists 0

A. Pósito Sporting Cristal football.player.minutes_played 45

C. Cabellos Sporting Cristal football.player.assists 0

C. Cabellos Sporting Cristal football.player.minutes_played 17

Cris Silva Sporting Cristal football.player.assists 0

Cris Silva Sporting Cristal football.player.minutes_played 45

D. Enríquez Sporting Cristal football.player.assists 0

D. Enríquez Sporting Cristal football.player.minutes_played 90

Felipe Vizeu Sporting Cristal football.player.assists 0

Felipe Vizeu Sporting Cristal football.player.minutes_played 45

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 5.10 Fonbet · line only

1 1.04 Fonbet · line only

2 4.67 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.14 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only

X2 7.90 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.72 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 6.80 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 2.05 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 1.06 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.08 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 6.00 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.12 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.74 57.5%	1.80 55.6%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.73 57.8%
X	3.55 28.2%	3.66 27.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.60 27.8%	3.70 27.0%	3.60 27.8%
	4.70 21.3%	4.68 21.4%	4.50 22.2%	4.75 21.1%	4.90 20.4%	4.75 21.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Superbet
no	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.83 54.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.85 54.1%
yes	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.88 53.2%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.88 53.2%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.05 48.8%	2.03 49.3%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.07 48.3%	2.00 50.0%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.29 77.5%	1.29 77.5%	1.28 78.1%	1.28 78.1%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.18 84.8%	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.18 84.8%	1.21 82.6%	1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.06 94.3%	1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75	—	1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0	—	1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25	—	1.16 86.2%
Over 1.5	1.33 75.2%	1.28 78.1%
Over 1.75	—	1.37 73.0%
Over 2.0	—	1.47 68.0%
Over 2.25	—	1.78 56.2%
Over 2.5	2.00 50.0%	—
Over 3.5	3.55 28.2%	—
Over 4.5	7.00 14.3%	—
Under 0.5	8.50 11.8%	—
Under 1.5	3.25 30.8%	—
Under 2.5	1.80 55.6%	—
Under 3.5	1.28 78.1%	—
Under 4.5	1.09 91.7%	—

Match center

Junior

L L L D

08.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Junior 0:1 Cerro Porteno

29.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Junior 0:2 Sporting Cristal

14.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Junior 0:1 Cerro Porteno

09.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Junior 1:1 Palmeiras

0 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

0.3 Scored

1.3 Conceded

1 Points

Sporting Cristal

L W L W L

05.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Sporting Cristal 0:2 Palmeiras

29.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Sporting Cristal 2:0 Junior

16.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Sporting Cristal 1:2 Palmeiras

09.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Sporting Cristal 1:0 Cerro Porteno

11.03 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Sporting Cristal 1:2 Carabobo FC

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.2 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyJunior - Sporting Cristal

Junior

1 matches total

Sporting Cristal

Junior: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Sporting Cristal: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Sporting Cristal 0:2 (29.04 02:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 29.04 02:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

29.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Junior

0:2

Sporting Cristal

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Junior

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Sporting Cristal

4 Games 8

0 Wins 4

1 Draws 1

3 Losses 3

1 Scored 8

5 Conceded 8

1 Points 13

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 18

2.5 Shots on target 2.75

eniya 1.25 0.25 Sendoffs 0.13 Goly Luis Murel 1:0 9' Kevin Peres Khesus Rivas 2:0 28' Luis Murel Edwin Herrera 3:0 36' Yosimar Yotun Alejandro Posito 3:1 45+5' Gustavo Cazonatti 3:2 56' Nakazaniya Jannenson Sarmiento 66' Yeison Suarez 85' Kristiano 90+7'

Khunior Sporting Kristal 4 Games 8 0 Wins 4 1 Draws 1 3 Losses 3 1 Scored 8 5 Conceded 8 1 Points 13 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 18 2.5 Udary v stvor 2.75 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.5 Uglovye 4.5 2.5 Offsaydy 2 12.5 Foly 7.75 50.5 % vladeniya myachom 50.25 1.75 Warnings 1.25 0.25 Sendoffs 0.13 Goly Luis Murel 1:0 9' Kevin Peres Khesus Rivas 2:0 28' Luis Murel Edwin Herrera 3:0 36' Yosimar Yotun Alejandro Posito 3:1 45+5' Gustavo Cazonatti 3:2 56' Nakazaniya Jannenson Sarmiento 66' Yeison Suarez 85' Kristiano 90+7'