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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
06.03.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Juventud - Independiente Medellin

World Football
Juventud
Juventud
1 : 1
Finished
Independiente Medellin
Independiente Medellin

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Juventud - Independiente Medellin March 6, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Independiente Medellin.

Line favourite market consensus: Independiente Medellin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.53 / X 3.07 / 2 2.16
  • 1X2 market: Juventud 26.4% / X 30.4% / Independiente Medellin 43.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.2%
1 26.4%
X 30.4%
2 43.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 40.3%
Under 2.5 59.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.03.2026 00:30 UTC
Match center

Juventud - Independiente Medellin

Form 4/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.16 market consensus · line only
X 3.07 market consensus · line only
1 3.55 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.27 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.68 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.05 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.34 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.58 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.75 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.98 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.73 26.8%
X 3.11 32.2%
2.17 46.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
3.45 29.0% 3.15 31.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2% 3.50 28.6%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.10 32.3%
2.18 45.9% 2.14 46.7% 2.21 45.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.22 45.1% 2.15 46.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 1.73 57.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.01 49.8% 1.89 52.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.65 60.6% 1.68 59.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6%
Match center
Juventud
W D W L
26.02 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Juventud 2:1 Club Guarani
19.02 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Juventud 0:0 Club Guarani
13.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Juventud 4:3 Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica
06.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Juventud 0:1 Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.3 Conceded
7 Points
Independiente Medellin
D W
25.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Independiente Medellin 0:0 Liverpool Montevideo
18.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Independiente Medellin 2:1 Liverpool Montevideo
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points