Match center
Start
16.04.2026 22:00 UTC
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16.04.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished
CONMEBOL Libertadores
Lanus - Always Ready
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lanus - Always Ready April 16, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lanus.
Line favourite market consensus: Lanus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.21 / X 6.25 / 2 12.62
- 1X2 market: Lanus 77.4% / X 15.1% / Always Ready 7.6%
- Glicko: Lanus - / X 100.0% / Always Ready -
- Total 2.5: over probability 62.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.6%
1
77.6%
X
15.0%
2
7.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5
58.6%
Under 2.5
41.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: X
Main outcome
X
Agreement
3/4
Confidence
66.2%
Total
Over 2.5
Score
2:2
Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.
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Match center
Lanus - Always Ready
Lanus: Win 1.22 Lanus: Draw 6.50 Always Ready Win: 11.00 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.62 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 2.25 Individualnyy total golov Lanus bolshe 2.5: 2.00 Individualnyy total golov Lanus menshe 2.5: 1.73 Individualnyy total golov Always Ready bolsh…
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
4
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:0
Events
17
Statistics
26
Lineups
34
min
Event
Player
Team
13'
13' Yellow Card | José Canale
Lanus
46'
46' Substitution 1 | Franco Watson | assist/sub out: Yoshan Valois
Lanus
58'
58' Substitution 2 | Agustín Medina | assist/sub out: Marcelino Moreno
Lanus
65'
65' Substitution 3 | Eduardo Salvio | assist/sub out: Dylan Aquino
J. Contreras
Lanus
66'
66' Yellow Card | Richet Gomez
Always Ready
67'
67' Normal Goal | Yoshan Valois
Lanus
69'
69' Substitution 1 | Fernando Saucedo | assist/sub out: Joel Amoroso
Always Ready
77'
77' Substitution 2 | Yhormar Hurtado | assist/sub out: Juan Godoy
Raphael Pucinelli de Almeida
Always Ready
Metric
Lanus
Always Ready
SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG)
2.44
0.51
final
Zablokirovannye udary
5
0
final
Shots off target
14
4
final
Shots on target
7
1
final
Udary vsego
26
5
final
Fouls soversheno
10
12
final
Red cards
0
1
final
Zheltye kartochki
1
4
final
Lanus
#4 G. PG©rez, #5 F. PeG±a, #6 S. Marcich, #8 F. Watson, #11 E. Salvio, #13 J. Canale, #23 R. Carrera, #24 C. Izquierdoz, #26 N. Losada, #77 L. Besozzi
Always Ready
#1 A. Baroja, #5 M. Suarez, #6 R. Lima, #9 E. Triverio, #13 H. Cuellar, #20 F. Saucedo, #21 A. Rambal, #22 R. Gómez, #27 Y. Hurtado
Player
Team
Metric
SStats
Carlitos Rodriguez
Seyvy
0
Carlitos Rodriguez
football.player.minutes_played
5
Carlitos Rodriguez
Klyuchevye pasy
4
Carlitos Rodriguez
Otbory vsego
4
Dario Torrico
Seyvy
0
Dieguito Rodriguez
Seyvy
0
Dieguito Rodriguez
football.player.minutes_played
5
Dieguito Rodriguez
Tochnost pasov %
1
Dieguito Rodriguez
Klyuchevye pasy
2
Dieguito Rodriguez
Otbory vsego
2
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Lanus
79.4%
-
market favourite
Draw
13.9%
100.0%
draw risk
Always Ready
6.6%
-
Total 2.5
Over 62.2%
-
Under 37.8%
Model check
-
-
Difference 0.86
Favourite-trap risk
The match leans toward a high total
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.86
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
HFA: -
HFA mu: -
MoV: -
N: N=1
P: glicko2_expected
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
6.27
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.21
market consensus · line only
2
9.37
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
4.14
market consensus · line only
12
1.11
market consensus · line only
1X
1.04
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
4.05
market consensus · line only
2 -1
3.28
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.24
market consensus · line only
1 -1
1.31
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.61
market consensus · no value · model 62.2%
Under 2.5
2.28
market consensus · no value · model 37.8%
Both teams to score
No
1.58
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.26
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.22 82.0% | |
| X | 6.50 15.4% |
| 11.00 9.1% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% | |
| X | 6.20 16.1% | 5.20 19.2% | 6.98 14.3% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.50 15.4% | 6.50 15.4% |
| 11.50 8.7% | 9.10 11.0% | 15.00 6.7% | 12.00 8.3% | 11.00 9.1% | 14.50 6.9% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.53 65.4% |
| yes | 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.31 43.3% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.31 43.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 4.20 23.8% | 4.64 21.6% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.35 23.0% | 4.50 22.2% |
| home_away | 1.11 90.1% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.11 90.1% |
| home_draw | 1.03 97.1% | 1.02 98.0% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.04 96.2% |
Match center
Lanus
Founded
1915
Always Ready
Founded
1933
Match center
Lanus
L
Lanus
0:1
Mirassol
Mirassol
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
0
Points
Always Ready
L
Always Ready
0:1
LDU de Quito
LDU de Quito
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLanus - Always Ready
Lanus
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
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The Lanus - Always Ready breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form