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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
26.05.2026 22:00 UTC Group G. 6 round
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Lanus - Mirassol

World Football
Lanus
Lanus
1 : 0
Finished
Mirassol
Mirassol

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lanus - Mirassol May 26, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lanus.

Line favourite market consensus: Lanus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.84 / X 3.15 / 2 4.83
  • 1X2 market: Lanus 50.8% / X 29.8% / Mirassol 19.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.8%
1 50.9%
X 29.7%
2 19.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5 38.4%
Under 2.5 61.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.05.2026 22:00 UTC
Match center

Lanus - Mirassol

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Lanus - Mirasol, 27 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Cup Libertadores 2026, Group G. 6 round. Lanus - Mirasol, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.20 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
2 4.83 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.09 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 3.35 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.28 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.45 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Yes 10.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.86 53.8% 1.89 52.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6%
X 3.05 32.8% 3.17 31.6% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 2.88 34.7%
4.85 20.6% 5.04 19.8% 4.50 22.2% 4.75 21.1% 5.10 19.6% 5.00 20.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Superbet
no 1.62 61.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.63 61.4%
yes 2.15 46.5% 2.18 45.9% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.18 45.9% 2.20 45.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.37 73.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.10 90.9% 1.06 94.3%
Over 0.75 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.0 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.25 1.28 78.1%
Over 1.5 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4%
Over 1.75 1.59 62.9%
Over 2.0 1.81 55.3%
Over 2.25 2.21 45.3%
Over 2.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 3.5 4.75 21.1%
Over 4.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 0.5 6.50 15.4%
Under 1.5 2.55 39.2%
Under 2.5 1.53 65.4%
Under 3.5 1.18 84.8%
Under 4.5 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Lanus
L L W W L
21.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Lanus 0:2 LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
06.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Lanus 0:4 Always ReadyAlways Ready
28.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Lanus 1:0 LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
16.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Lanus 1:0 Always ReadyAlways Ready
08.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Lanus 0:1 MirassolMirassol
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Mirassol
W W W L W
20.05 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Mirassol 2:1 Always ReadyAlways Ready
07.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Mirassol 2:0 LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
29.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Mirassol 2:0 Always ReadyAlways Ready
15.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Mirassol 0:2 LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
08.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Mirassol 1:0 LanusLanus
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLanus - Mirassol

Lanus
1 matches total
Mirassol
Lanus: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Mirassol: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Mirassol 0:1 (08.04 22:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 08.04 22:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

08.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Lanus
0:1
Mirassol
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Lanus
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Mirassol
Lanus Team comparison Mirassol
5 Games 5
2 Wins 4
0 Draws 0
3 Losses 1
2 Scored 7
7 Conceded 3
6 Points 12
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 15
3.4 Shots on target 4.2
2 Sendoffs 0.6 Goly Agustin Medina Valter Bou 1:0 22' Nakazaniya Agustin Kardoso 34' Gonsalo Peres 45+3' Willian Machado 83'

Lanus Mirasol 5 Games 5 2 Wins 4 0 Draws 0 3 Losses 1 2 Scored 7 Conceded 3 6 Points 12 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 15 3.4 Udary v stvor 4.2 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 6.2 Uglovye 4.6 1 Offsaydy 0.6 7.6 Foly 9.2 50 % vladeniya myachom 52.6 1.8 Warnings 2.4 0.2 Sendoffs 0.6 Goly Agustin Medina Valter Bou 1:0 22' Nakazaniya Agustin Kardoso 34' Gonsalo Peres 45+3' Willian Machado 83'