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CONMEBOL Libertadores World

Group G. 5 round 21.05.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction

21.05.2026 00:30 UTC Group G. 5 round

Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

LDU de Quito - Lanus

World Football

LDU de Quito

2 : 0

Finished

Lanus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction LDU de Quito - Lanus May 21, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like LDU de Quito.

Line favourite market consensus: LDU de Quito. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.89 / X 3.34 / 2 4.19
1X2 market: LDU de Quito 49.6% / X 28.0% / Lanus 22.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.7%

1 49.6%

X 28.1%

2 22.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%

Over 2.5 42.2%

Under 2.5 57.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: LDU de Quito

Main outcome LDU de Quito

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 52.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center

Start 21.05.2026 00:30 UTC

Match center

LDU de Quito - Lanus

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi LDU Kito - Lanus, 21 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Cup Libertadores 2026, Group G. 5 round. LDU Kito - Lanus, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/4 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 2:0

Events 19

Statistics 22

Lineups 46

min Event Player Team

26' 26' Yellow Card | R. Carrera R. Carrera Lanus

37' 37' Yellow Card | A. Cardozo A. Cardozo Lanus

46' 46' Substitution 1 | Gabriel Villamil | assist/sub out: Alejandro Tobar G. Villamíl LDU de Quito

46' 46' Substitution 1 | R. Carrera | assist/sub out: M. Sepúlveda R. Carrera Lanus

59' 59' Substitution 2 | Y. Valois | assist/sub out: B. Cabrera Y. Valois Lanus

63' 63' Substitution 2 | Deyverson | assist/sub out: Rodney Redes Deyverson LDU de Quito

74' 74' Own Goal | J. Canale J. Canale LDU de Quito

77' 77' Yellow Card | N. Losada N. Losada Lanus

Metric LDU de Quito Lanus SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.24 0.11 final

Zablokirovannye udary 7 0 final

Shots off target 7 4 final

Shots on target 3 0 final

Udary vsego 17 4 final

Fouls soversheno 16 7 final

Zheltye kartochki 3 3 final

Offsides 3 3 final

LDU de Quito #1 Gonzalo Valle, #8 J. Pretell, #16 Deyverson, #23 Y. Quinonez, #33 Leonel Enrique QuiG±Gіnez Padilla, #4 Ricardo Ade, #11 M. Estrada, #15 G. VillamGl, #20 F. Cornejo, #30 G. Allala, #14 JosG© Alfredo Quintero OrdGіG±ez

Lanus #6 S. Marcich, #19 Y. Valois, #23 R. Carrera, #26 N. Losada, #30 A. Cardozo, #5 F. PeG±a, #10 M. Moreno, #13 J. Canale, #11 E. Salvio, #24 C. Izquierdoz, #33 T. Guidara

Player Team Metric SStats

C. Luna Tobar LDU de Quito football.player.assists 0

C. Luna Tobar LDU de Quito football.player.minutes_played 45

Deyverson LDU de Quito football.player.assists 0

Deyverson LDU de Quito football.player.minutes_played 63

F. Cornejo LDU de Quito football.player.assists 0

F. Cornejo LDU de Quito football.player.goals 1

F. Cornejo LDU de Quito football.player.minutes_played 90

G. Allala LDU de Quito football.player.assists 0

G. Allala LDU de Quito football.player.minutes_played 90

G. Villamíl LDU de Quito football.player.assists 0

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 7.40 Fonbet · line only

X 1.65 Fonbet · line only

1 1.05 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 2.15 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.10 Fonbet · line only

X2 7.20 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 2.35 Fonbet · line only

2 0 3.10 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.55 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.06 Fonbet · line only

Yes 6.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.90 52.6%	1.92 52.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.88 53.2%	1.83 54.6%
X	3.40 29.4%	3.44 29.1%	3.20 31.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.55 28.2%	3.25 30.8%
	4.00 25.0%	4.32 23.2%	4.00 25.0%	4.20 23.8%	4.20 23.8%	4.60 21.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Superbet
no	1.73 57.8%	1.74 57.5%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.72 58.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.73 57.8%	1.72 58.1%	1.71 58.5%
yes	2.00 50.0%	1.98 50.5%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	1.98 50.5%	2.05 48.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.85 54.1%	1.90 52.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.83 54.6%	1.93 51.8%	1.91 52.4%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.32 75.8%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.22 82.0%	1.23 81.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.24 80.7%	1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.07 93.5%	1.04 96.2%
Over 0.75	—	1.05 95.2%
Over 1.0	—	1.07 93.5%
Over 1.25	—	1.22 82.0%
Over 1.5	1.40 71.4%	1.36 73.5%
Over 1.75	—	1.48 67.6%
Over 2.0	—	1.64 61.0%
Over 2.25	—	1.98 50.5%
Over 2.5	2.25 44.4%	—
Over 3.5	4.20 23.8%	—
Over 4.5	8.50 11.8%	—
Under 0.5	8.00 12.5%	—
Under 1.5	2.90 34.5%	—
Under 2.5	1.62 61.7%	—
Under 3.5	1.22 82.0%	—
Under 4.5	1.06 94.3%	—

Match center

LDU de Quito

L L W W L

07.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

LDU de Quito 0:2 Mirassol

28.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

LDU de Quito 0:1 Lanus

15.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

LDU de Quito 2:0 Mirassol

08.04 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

LDU de Quito 1:0 Always Ready

31.10 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

LDU de Quito 0:4 Palmeiras

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

0.6 Scored

1.4 Conceded

6 Points

Lanus

L W W L

06.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Lanus 0:4 Always Ready

28.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Lanus 1:0 LDU de Quito

16.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Lanus 1:0 Always Ready

08.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Lanus 0:1 Mirassol

2 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

0.5 Scored

1.3 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLDU de Quito - Lanus

LDU de Quito

1 matches total

Lanus

LDU de Quito: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Lanus: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Lanus 0:1 (28.04 22:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 28.04 22:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

28.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

LDU de Quito

0:1

Lanus

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 LDU de Quito

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Lanus

4 Games 4

2 Wins 2

0 Draws 0

2 Losses 2

3 Scored 2

3 Conceded 5

6 Points 6

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

6 Shots on goal 0

2.5 Shots on target 3.75

1.5 0 Sendoffs 0.25 Goly Felipe Penya Byafore 1:0 74' Fernando Kornekho Jeison Medina 2:0 90+1' Nakazaniya Agustin Kardoso 37' Jose Quinteros 77' Nauel Losada 77' Khose Kanale 78' Luis Geovanny Segovia 90' Fernando Kornekho 90+3'

LDU Kito Lanus 4 Games 4 2 Wins 2 0 Draws 0 2 Losses 2 3 Scored 2 3 Conceded 5 6 Points 6 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 6 Shots on goal 0 2.5 Udary v stvor 3.75 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.5 Uglovye 7.5 1 Offsaydy 0.5 12.25 Foly 7.5 41.75 % vladeniya myachom 53.75 2.75 Warnings 1.5 0 Sendoffs 0.25 Goly Felipe Penya Byafore 1:0 74' Fernando Kornekho Jeison Medina 2:0 90+1' Nakazaniya Agustin Kardoso 37' Jose Quinteros 77' Nauel Losada 77' Khose Kanale 78' Luis Geovanny Segovia 90' Fernando Kornekho 90+3'