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Start
27.05.2026 22:00 UTC
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27.05.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished
CONMEBOL Libertadores
Libertad Asuncion - UCV
0
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Libertad Asuncion - UCV May 27, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Libertad Asuncion.
Line favourite market consensus: Libertad Asuncion. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.44 / X 4.50 / 2 6.52
- 1X2 market: Libertad Asuncion 64.8% / X 20.8% / UCV 14.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 55.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.0%
1
64.9%
X
20.8%
2
14.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5
55.4%
Under 2.5
44.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Libertad Asuncion - UCV
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.06
Fonbet · line only
X
4.50
Fonbet · line only
1
1.44
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.17
Fonbet · line only
1X
6.50
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.03
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.25
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
3.35
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.01
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
3.65
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.70
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.11
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.27
Fonbet · line only
Yes
3.45
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.45 69.0% | 1.46 68.5% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.44 69.4% | |
| X | 4.55 22.0% | 4.68 21.4% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.80 20.8% | 4.33 23.1% |
| 6.20 16.1% | 6.94 14.4% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.25 16.0% | 6.80 14.7% | 6.50 15.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.83 54.6% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.79 55.9% |
| yes | 1.85 54.1% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.89 52.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.65 37.7% | 2.76 36.2% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.70 37.0% |
| home_away | 1.15 87.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.17 85.5% |
| home_draw | 1.10 90.9% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.10 90.9% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.0 | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.25 | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.17 85.5% |
| Over 1.75 | — | 1.23 81.3% |
| Over 2.0 | — | 1.28 78.1% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.54 64.9% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.73 57.8% | 1.73 57.8% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.85 35.1% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.20 23.8% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.42 70.4% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — |
Match center
Libertad Asuncion
L
L
L
L
L
Libertad Asuncion
1:4
Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
0:1
Rosario Central
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
2:3
Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
0:1
Rosario Central
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
1:3
UCV
UCV
0
Wins
0
Draws
5
Losses
0.8
Scored
2.4
Conceded
0
Points
UCV
L
W
L
L
W
UCV
0:4
Rosario Central
Rosario Central
UCV
2:0
Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle
UCV
0:3
Rosario Central
Rosario Central
UCV
1:3
Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle
UCV
3:1
Libertad Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.2
Scored
2.2
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLibertad Asuncion - UCV
Libertad Asuncion
1
matches total
Libertad Asuncion: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
UCV: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
UCV 1:3 (09.04 22:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (1:3, 09.04 22:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Libertad Asuncion
1:3
UCV
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