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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
18.02.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction
18.02.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Liverpool Montevideo - Independiente Medellin

World Football
Liverpool Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
1 : 2
Finished
Independiente Medellin
Independiente Medellin

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Liverpool Montevideo - Independiente Medellin February 18, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool Montevideo.

Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool Montevideo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.55 / X 2.99 / 2 2.83
  • 1X2 market: Liverpool Montevideo 36.3% / X 31.0% / Independiente Medellin 32.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 36.3%
X 31.0%
2 32.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5 42.4%
Under 2.5 57.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.02.2026 00:30 UTC
Match center

Liverpool Montevideo - Independiente Medellin

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.85 market consensus · line only
X 2.99 market consensus · line only
1 2.56 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.47 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.40 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.17 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.77 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.23 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.64 37.9%
X 2.98 33.6%
2.99 33.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.74 36.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.67 37.5% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2%
X 3.00 33.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3%
2.68 37.3% 2.74 36.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.70 37.0% 2.88 34.7% 2.82 35.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.81 55.3% 2.05 48.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.89 52.9%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.89 52.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.89 52.9% 1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.44 69.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4%