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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
19.02.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction
19.02.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Nacional Potosí - Botafogo

World Football
Nacional Potosí
Nacional Potosí
1 : 0
Finished
Botafogo
Botafogo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nacional Potosí - Botafogo February 19, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nacional Potosí.

Line favourite market consensus: Nacional Potosí. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.14 / X 3.31 / 2 3.27
  • 1X2 market: Nacional Potosí 43.5% / X 28.1% / Botafogo 28.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.5%
1 43.5%
X 28.1%
2 28.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.7%
Over 2.5 48.3%
Under 2.5 51.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.02.2026 00:30 UTC
Match center

Nacional Potosí - Botafogo

Form 0/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.28 market consensus · line only
X 3.32 market consensus · line only
1 2.14 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.67 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.30 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.31 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.20 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.97 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.74 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.17 46.1%
X 3.39 29.5%
3.40 29.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.16 46.3% 2.19 45.7% 2.18 45.9% 2.10 47.6% 2.22 45.1% 2.10 47.6%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.44 29.1% 3.20 31.3% 3.45 29.0% 3.25 30.8%
3.30 30.3% 2.85 35.1% 3.42 29.2% 3.20 31.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 2.06 48.5%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.74 57.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
draw_away 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.66 60.2%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5%
Match center
Botafogo
L W W W W
21.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo 0:2 LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
14.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo 1:0 LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
28.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo 1:0 Universidad de Chile
15.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo 3:2 Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
06.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo 2:1 Carabobo FCCarabobo FC
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
12 Points