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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
05.03.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction
05.03.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

O'Higgins - Deportes Tolima

World Football
O'Higgins
O'Higgins
1 : 0
Finished
Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction O'Higgins - Deportes Tolima March 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like O'Higgins.

Line favourite market consensus: O'Higgins. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.60 / X 3.01 / 2 2.82
  • 1X2 market: O'Higgins 35.9% / X 31.0% / Deportes Tolima 33.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.1%
1 35.9%
X 31.0%
2 33.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 39.1%
Under 2.5 60.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.03.2026 00:30 UTC
Match center

O'Higgins - Deportes Tolima

Form 2/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.82 market consensus · line only
X 3.01 market consensus · line only
1 2.61 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.46 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.41 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.51 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.81 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.27 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.41 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.75 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.70 37.0%
X 3.01 33.2%
2.88 34.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.78 36.0% 2.22 45.1% 2.69 37.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.65 37.7% 2.70 37.0%
X 3.05 32.8% 3.15 31.8% 3.06 32.7% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 2.88 34.7%
2.62 38.2% 3.00 33.3% 2.91 34.4% 2.70 37.0% 2.85 35.1% 2.80 35.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 1.77 56.5% 1.71 58.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1%
yes 1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6% 1.98 50.5% 2.10 47.6% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 2.05 48.8% 1.94 51.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
draw_away 1.42 70.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.57 63.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.48 67.6% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.39 71.9%
Match center
O'Higgins
L W
25.02 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
O'Higgins 1:2 BahiaBahia
18.02 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
O'Higgins 1:0 BahiaBahia
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Deportes Tolima
L W L L
27.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Deportes Tolima 0:1 Deportivo Tachira FC
20.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Deportes Tolima 1:0 Deportivo Tachira FC
28.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Deportes Tolima 0:1 FBC MelgarFBC Melgar
21.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Deportes Tolima 0:1 FBC MelgarFBC Melgar
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.3 Scored
0.8 Conceded
3 Points