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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
10.04.2025 00:30 UTC Match prediction
10.04.2025 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Palmeiras - Cerro Porteno

World Football
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
1 : 0
Finished
Cerro Porteno
Cerro Porteno

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Palmeiras - Cerro Porteno April 10, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Palmeiras.

Line favourite Fonbet: Palmeiras. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.30 / X 5.20 / 2 11.00
  • 1X2 market: Palmeiras 73.1% / X 18.3% / Cerro Porteno 8.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 73.1%
X 18.3%
2 8.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 51.0%
Under 2.5 49.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.04.2025 00:30 UTC
Match center

Palmeiras - Cerro Porteno

Form 1/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 5.20 Fonbet · line only
1 1.30 Fonbet · line only
2 9.21 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.55 Fonbet · line only
12 1.16 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.37 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.70 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 7.50 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.31 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.58 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.32 75.8%
X 5.32 18.8%
10.31 9.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.25 80.0%
X 5.00 20.0% 5.37 18.6% 5.00 20.0% 5.25 19.1% 5.20 19.2% 5.00 20.0%
9.75 10.3% 11.40 8.8% 10.00 10.0% 8.50 11.8% 10.75 9.3% 11.00 9.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin Fonbet Marathonbet
no 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.58 63.3% 1.53 65.4%
yes 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.34 42.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 3.20 31.3% 3.58 27.9% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.35 29.9% 3.30 30.3%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.16 86.2% 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.05 95.2% 1.03 97.1% 1.05 95.2% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.06 94.3%
Match center
Palmeiras
W
03.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 3:2 Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Cerro Porteno
W W W W W
01.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno 4:2 BolívarBolívar
12.03 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno 4:2 FBC MelgarFBC Melgar
05.03 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno 1:0 FBC MelgarFBC Melgar
27.02 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno 3:1 Monagas SC
20.02 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno 4:0 Monagas SC
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
15 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPalmeiras - Cerro Porteno

Palmeiras
0 matches total
Cerro Porteno
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history