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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
Group F. 6 round 28.05.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
28.05.2026 22:00 UTC Group F. 6 round
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Palmeiras - Junior

World Football
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
4 : 1
Finished
Junior
Junior

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Palmeiras - Junior May 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Palmeiras.

Line favourite market consensus: Palmeiras. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.21 / X 6.37 / 2 12.39
  • 1X2 market: Palmeiras 77.4% / X 14.9% / Junior 7.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.4%
1 77.7%
X 14.8%
2 7.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.2%
Over 2.5 61.0%
Under 2.5 39.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Palmeiras

Main outcome Palmeiras
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

VALUE

Fonbet · historical ROI

Extra value signals (not 1x2)

LOW

Total goals: Under 3.5

odds 1.60 hist. ROI +2.0%

Under 3.5 (zaschitnyy match)

Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.

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Match center
Start 28.05.2026 22:00 UTC
Match center

Palmeiras - Junior

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Palmeyras - Khunior, 29 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Cup Libertadores 2026, Group F. 6 round. Palmeyras - Khunior, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 4:1
Events 20
Statistics 22
Lineups 46
min Event Player Team
6' 6' Normal Goal | J. Arias | assist/sub out: J. López J. Arias Palmeiras
16' 16' Yellow Card | Y. Chara Y. Chara Junior
29' 29' Yellow Card | J. Pestana J. Pestana Junior
36' 36' Normal Goal | L. Muriel | assist/sub out: J. Pena L. Muriel Junior
40' 40' Normal Goal | Allan Allan Palmeiras
45' 45' Normal Goal | J. Arias | assist/sub out: J. López J. Arias Palmeiras
46' 46' Substitution 1 | J. Pestana | assist/sub out: J. Canchimbo J. Pestana Junior
48' 48' Penalty cancelled | L. Muriel L. Muriel Junior
Metric Palmeiras Junior SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 2.12 1.21 final
Zablokirovannye udary 1 5 final
Shots off target 8 11 final
Shots on target 8 1 final
Udary vsego 17 17 final
Fouls soversheno 4 12 final
Zheltye kartochki 0 3 final
Offsides 0 1 final
Palmeiras #1 Carlos Miguel, #11 J. Arias, #17 Marlon Freitas, #42 J. López, #56 Arthur Gabriel, #8 Andreas Pereira, #26 Murilo, #32 E. Martínez, #15 G. Gómez, #40 Allan, #4 A. Giay
Junior #1 M. Silveira, #3 E. Herrera, #8 Y. Chara, #9 G. Paiva, #10 L. Muriel, #33 L. Monzon, #80 F. S. Angel Bernal, #22 J. Rivas, #24 J. Pestana, #98 J. Pena, #34 J. Guerrero
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Giay Palmeiras football.player.assists 0
A. Giay Palmeiras football.player.minutes_played 90
Allan Palmeiras football.player.assists 0
Allan Palmeiras football.player.goals 1
Allan Palmeiras football.player.minutes_played 70
Andreas Pereira Palmeiras football.player.assists 0
Andreas Pereira Palmeiras football.player.goals 1
Andreas Pereira Palmeiras football.player.minutes_played 77
Arthur Gabriel Palmeiras football.player.assists 0
Arthur Gabriel Palmeiras football.player.minutes_played 90
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · line only
X 3.80 Fonbet · line only
1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.06 Fonbet · line only
X2 2.80 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 6.30 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.75 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 5.20 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.21 82.6% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.18 84.8%
X 6.20 16.1% 6.80 14.7% 6.00 16.7% 7.00 14.3% 7.10 14.1% 6.00 16.7%
12.50 8.0% 11.10 9.0% 12.00 8.3% 13.00 7.7% 13.00 7.7% 14.00 7.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 1.67 59.9% 1.61 62.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.59 62.9% 1.58 63.3%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9% 2.20 45.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 4.20 23.8% 4.12 24.3% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.30 23.3% 4.50 22.2%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1%
home_draw 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0% 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.04 96.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 — 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.5 1.17 85.5% 1.13 88.5%
Over 1.75 — 1.15 87.0%
Over 2.5 1.53 65.4% —
Over 3.5 2.30 43.5% —
Over 4.5 3.95 25.3% —
Over 5.5 7.50 13.3% —
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1% —
Under 1.5 5.00 20.0% —
Under 2.5 2.45 40.8% —
Under 3.5 1.60 62.5% —
Under 4.5 1.25 80.0% —
Under 5.5 1.08 92.6% —
Match center
Palmeiras
L W D W D
21.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 0:1 Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
05.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 2:0 Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
30.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 1:1 Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
16.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 2:1 Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
09.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 1:1 JuniorJunior
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Junior
W L L L D
21.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Junior 3:2 Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
08.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Junior 0:1 Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
29.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Junior 0:2 Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
14.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Junior 0:1 Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
09.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Junior 1:1 PalmeirasPalmeiras
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPalmeiras - Junior

Palmeiras
1 matches total
Junior
Palmeiras: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Junior: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 09.04 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (09.04 00:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

09.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras
1:1
Junior
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Palmeiras
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Junior
Palmeiras Team comparison Junior
5 Games 5
2 Wins 1
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 3
6 Scored 4
4 Conceded 7
8 Points 4
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
16.5 Shots on goal 0
5.4 Shots on target 3.8
1.8 0 Sendoffs 0.2 Goly Dzhon Aryas Khose Lopes 1:0 6' Luis Murel Jermein Pena 1 36' Allan Khose Lopes 2:1 40' Dzhon Aryas Khose Lopes 3:1 45' Andreas Pereyra Murilo 4:1 51' Nakazaniya Yimmi Chara 16' Khean Pestanya 29' Juan David Rios 79'

Palmeyras Khunior 5 Games 5 2 Wins 1 2 Draws 1 Losses 3 6 Scored 4 Conceded 7 8 Points 4 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 16.5 Shots on goal 0 5.4 Udary v stvor 3.8 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 7.4 Uglovye 4.4 2.8 Offsaydy 2.6 10.4 Foly 12.8 64 % vladeniya myachom 50.2 1.4 Warnings 1.8 0 Sendoffs 0.2 Goly Dzhon Aryas Khose Lopes 1:0 6' Luis Murel Jermein Pena 1 36' Allan Khose Lopes 2:1 40' Dzhon Aryas Khose Lopes 3:1 45' Andreas Pereyra Murilo 4:1 51' Nakazaniya Yimmi Chara 16' Khean Pestanya 29' Juan David Rios 79'