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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
29.05.2025 00:30 UTC Match prediction
29.05.2025 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Palmeiras - Sporting Cristal

World Football
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
6 : 0
Finished
Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Palmeiras - Sporting Cristal May 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Palmeiras.

Line favourite Fonbet: Palmeiras. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.20 / X 6.30 / 2 16.00
  • 1X2 market: Palmeiras 79.0% / X 15.1% / Sporting Cristal 5.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 79.0%
X 15.1%
2 5.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 57.7%
Under 2.5 42.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.05.2025 00:30 UTC
Match center

Palmeiras - Sporting Cristal

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 4.70 Fonbet · line only
12 1.13 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 4.14 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.50 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 9.80 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.22 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.19 84.0%
X 6.55 15.3%
14.06 7.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.18 84.8%
X 6.00 16.7% 6.38 15.7% 6.00 16.7% 6.50 15.4% 6.30 15.9% 6.00 16.7%
13.50 7.4% 15.50 6.5% 13.00 7.7% 13.00 7.7% 16.00 6.3% 14.00 7.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin Fonbet
no 1.57 63.7% 1.59 62.9% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7%
yes 2.25 44.4% 2.29 43.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 4.00 25.0% 4.44 22.5% 4.40 22.7% 4.00 25.0% 4.30 23.3% 3.80 26.3%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5%
home_draw 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0% 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Palmeiras
W W W W W
15.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 2:0 BolívarBolívar
08.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 2:0 Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
24.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 3:2 BolívarBolívar
10.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 1:0 Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
03.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 3:2 Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
15 Points
Sporting Cristal
L W D L L
14.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 0:1 Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
08.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 2:1 BolívarBolívar
25.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 2:2 Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
10.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 0:3 BolívarBolívar
03.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 2:3 PalmeirasPalmeiras
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPalmeiras - Sporting Cristal

Palmeiras
1 matches total
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sporting Cristal: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Palmeiras 3:2 (03.04 22:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 03.04 22:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

03.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras
3:2
Sporting Cristal