Match center
Start
31.10.2024 00:30 UTC
31.10.2024 00:30 UTC
Finished
CONMEBOL Libertadores
Penarol - Botafogo
3
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Penarol - Botafogo 31 октября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Penarol.
Line favourite market consensus: Penarol. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.46 / X 3.19 / 2 3.20
- 1X2 market: Penarol 39.4% / X 30.4% / Botafogo 30.3%
- Total 2.5: over probability 62.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.2%
1
39.4%
X
30.4%
2
30.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5
37.5%
Under 2.5
62.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Penarol - Botafogo
Form
3/3
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.20
market consensus · line only
X
3.19
market consensus · line only
1
2.46
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.60
market consensus · line only
12
1.36
market consensus · line only
1X
1.41
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.58
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.55
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.46 40.7% |
| Х | 3.19 31.4% |
| П2 | 3.20 31.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.60 62.5% |
| home_away | 1.36 73.5% |
| home_draw | 1.41 70.9% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 2.58 38.8% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.70 58.8% |
| П2 | 2.21 45.3% |
Match center
Penarol
L
D
W
Penarol
0:5
Botafogo
Botafogo
Penarol
0:0
Flamengo
Flamengo
Penarol
1:0
Flamengo
Flamengo
1
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
0.3
Scored
1.7
Conceded
4
Points
Botafogo
W
D
D
Botafogo
5:0
Penarol
Penarol
Botafogo
1:1
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
0:0
Sao Paulo
1
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.3
Conceded
5
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyPenarol - Botafogo
Penarol
1
matches total
Penarol: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Botafogo: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Botafogo 0:5 (24.10 00:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
5 goals (0:5, 24.10 00:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Penarol
0:5
Botafogo