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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
Group E. 5 round 22.05.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction
22.05.2026 00:30 UTC Group E. 5 round
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Penarol - Corinthians

World Football
Penarol
Penarol
1 : 1
Finished
Corinthians
Corinthians

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Penarol - Corinthians May 22, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Penarol.

Line favourite market consensus: Penarol. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.42 / X 2.86 / 2 3.30
  • 1X2 market: Penarol 38.7% / X 32.8% / Corinthians 28.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 66.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.6%
1 38.8%
X 32.8%
2 28.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 33.6%
Under 2.5 66.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Penarol

Main outcome Penarol
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 40.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 22.05.2026 00:30 UTC
Match center

Penarol - Corinthians

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Penyarol - Korintians, 22 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Cup Libertadores 2026, Group E. 5 round. Penyarol - Korintians, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 11
Statistics 20
Lineups 46
min Event Player Team
19' 19' Normal Goal | M. Olivera | assist/sub out: Jesús Trindade Maximiliano Olivera Penarol
60' 60' Substitution 1 | Emanuel Gularte | assist/sub out: F. Alvez E. Gularte Penarol
60' 60' Substitution 2 | Eduardo Darias | assist/sub out: L. Angulo E. Darias Penarol
63' 63' Normal Goal | Zakaria Labyad Z. Labyad Corinthians
71' 71' Substitution 3 | Matías Arezo | assist/sub out: Facundo Batista M. Arezo Penarol
71' 71' Substitution 4 | F. Alvez | assist/sub out: Brian Barboza F. Alvez Penarol
71' 71' Substitution 5 | F. Alvez | assist/sub out: Brian Barboza F. Alvez Penarol
73' 73' Substitution 1 | Pedro Raul | assist/sub out: Yuri Alberto Pedro Raul Corinthians
Metric Penarol Corinthians SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 0.68 2.16 final
Zablokirovannye udary 7 6 final
Shots off target 6 7 final
Shots on target 3 8 final
Udary vsego 16 21 final
Fouls soversheno 5 6 final
Offsides 2 2 final
Ball possession, % 35 65 final
Penarol #2 F. Escobar, #3 M. Lemos, #4 E. Gularte, #13 E. Darias, #15 Maximiliano Olivera, #19 M. Arezo, #21 Jesús Trindade, #23 G. Togni, #29 W. Aguerre, #32 Leandro Umpierrez, #93 D. Laxalt
Corinthians #1 Hugo Souza, #3 Gabriel Paulista, #13 Gustavo Henrique, #18 Pedro Raul, #20 P. Milans, #23 Matheus Pereira, #26 F. Angileri, #29 Allan, #37 Kaio César, #49 Andre, #52 Z. Labyad
Player Team Metric SStats
Allan Corinthians football.player.minutes_played 97
Andre Corinthians football.player.minutes_played 97
Dieguinho Corinthians football.player.minutes_played 13
F. Angileri Corinthians football.player.minutes_played 97
Gabriel Paulista Corinthians football.player.minutes_played 97
Gustavo Henrique Corinthians football.player.minutes_played 97
Hugo Souza Corinthians football.player.minutes_played 97
J. Lingard Corinthians football.player.minutes_played 23
Kaio César Corinthians football.player.minutes_played 84
Matheus Pereira Corinthians football.player.minutes_played 73
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
X 1.12 Fonbet · line only
1 2.42 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 5.20 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.05 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.50 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.63 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.55 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.20 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.32 43.1% 2.47 40.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.42 41.3% 2.40 41.7%
X 2.96 33.8% 2.84 35.2% 2.75 36.4% 2.90 34.5% 2.92 34.3% 2.80 35.7%
3.35 29.9% 3.52 28.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.30 30.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Superbet
no 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.59 62.9%
yes 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.55 64.5% 1.56 64.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.33 75.2% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9%
Over 0.75 — 1.13 88.5%
Over 1.0 — 1.17 85.5%
Over 1.25 — 1.40 71.4%
Over 1.5 1.57 63.7% 1.64 61.0%
Over 1.75 — 1.74 57.5%
Over 2.0 — 2.04 49.0%
Over 2.25 — 2.49 40.2%
Over 2.5 2.70 37.0% —
Over 3.5 5.50 18.2% —
Over 4.5 10.00 10.0% —
Under 0.5 6.00 16.7% —
Under 1.5 2.35 42.6% —
Under 2.5 1.44 69.4% —
Under 3.5 1.14 87.7% —
Under 4.5 1.04 96.2% —
Match center
Penarol
D L L D L
07.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Penarol 1:1 PlatensePlatense
01.05 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Penarol 0:2 CorinthiansCorinthians
17.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Penarol 1:2 PlatensePlatense
10.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Penarol 1:1 Santa FeSanta Fe
20.08 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Penarol 1:3 Racing Club
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
2 Points
Corinthians
D W W W W
07.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Corinthians 1:1 Santa FeSanta Fe
01.05 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Corinthians 2:0 PenarolPenarol
16.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Corinthians 2:0 Santa FeSanta Fe
10.04 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Corinthians 2:0 PlatensePlatense
13.03 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Corinthians 2:0 Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.2 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPenarol - Corinthians

Penarol
1 matches total
Corinthians
Penarol: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Corinthians: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Corinthians 0:2 (01.05 00:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 01.05 00:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

01.05 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Penarol
0:2
Corinthians
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Penarol
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Corinthians
Penarol Team comparison Corinthians
4 Games 4
0 Wins 3
2 Draws 1
2 Losses 0
3 Scored 7
6 Conceded 1
2 Points 10
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
8 Shots on goal 0
4.25 Shots on target 5.25
eniya 0 Goly Maximiliano Olivera Jesus Trindade 1:0 19' Zakariya Labyad 1 63'

Penyarol Korintians 4 Games 4 0 Wins 3 2 Draws 1 2 Losses 0 3 Scored 7 6 Conceded 1 2 Points 10 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 8 Shots on goal 0 4.25 Udary v stvor 5.25 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3 Uglovye 5.25 1.75 Offsaydy 0.5 12 Foly 5.75 40 % vladeniya myachom 60.25 3.25 Warnings 0.5 0.25 Sendoffs 0 Goly Maximiliano Olivera Jesus Trindade 1:0 19' Zakariya Labyad 1 63'