Match center
Start
26.09.2024 22:00 UTC
26.09.2024 22:00 UTC
Finished
CONMEBOL Libertadores
Penarol - Flamengo
0
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Penarol - Flamengo 26 сентября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Flamengo.
Line favourite market consensus: Flamengo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.79 / X 3.28 / 2 2.15
- 1X2 market: Penarol 25.5% / X 29.5% / Flamengo 45.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 62.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.4%
1
25.5%
X
29.5%
2
45.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5
38.0%
Under 2.5
62.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Penarol - Flamengo
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.15
market consensus · line only
X
3.28
market consensus · line only
1
3.79
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.30
market consensus · line only
12
1.37
market consensus · line only
1X
1.75
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.54
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.56
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.79 26.4% |
| Х | 3.28 30.5% |
| П2 | 2.15 46.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_away | 1.37 73.0% |
| home_draw | 1.75 57.1% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 2.54 39.4% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 1.56 64.1% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.67 37.5% |
| П2 | 1.50 66.7% |
Match center
Penarol
W
Penarol
1:0
Flamengo
Flamengo
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Flamengo
L
Flamengo
0:1
Penarol
Penarol
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyPenarol - Flamengo
Penarol
1
matches total
Penarol: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Flamengo: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Penarol 1:0 (19.09 22:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
1 goals (1:0, 19.09 22:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Penarol
1:0
Flamengo