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CONMEBOL Libertadores World

Group E. 6 round 28.05.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction

28.05.2026 00:30 UTC Group E. 6 round

Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Penarol - Santa Fe

World Football

Penarol

0 : 1

Finished

Santa Fe

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Penarol - Santa Fe May 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Penarol.

Line favourite market consensus: Penarol. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.67 / X 3.54 / 2 5.55
1X2 market: Penarol 56.2% / X 26.5% / Santa Fe 17.3%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.1%

1 56.4%

X 26.6%

2 17.0%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.9%

Over 2.5 42.7%

Under 2.5 57.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 28.05.2026 00:30 UTC

Match center

Penarol - Santa Fe

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Penyarol - Santa-Fe, 28 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Cup Libertadores 2026, Group E. 6 round. Penyarol - Santa-Fe, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.14 Fonbet · line only

X 4.40 Fonbet · line only

1 1.67 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.18 Fonbet · line only

1X 4.80 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.03 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.03 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 4.05 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 8.50 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.17 Fonbet · line only

Yes 4.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.73 57.8%	1.64 61.0%	1.60 62.5%	1.60 62.5%	1.65 60.6%	1.57 63.7%
X	3.55 28.2%	3.82 26.2%	3.40 29.4%	3.80 26.3%	3.60 27.8%	3.30 30.3%
	4.80 20.8%	5.91 16.9%	5.75 17.4%	6.25 16.0%	6.00 16.7%	6.00 16.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.65 60.6%	1.63 61.4%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.65 60.6%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.68 59.5%
yes	2.10 47.6%	2.14 46.7%	2.10 47.6%	2.05 48.8%	2.10 47.6%	2.10 47.6%	2.15 46.5%	2.14 46.7%	2.02 49.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.05 48.8%	2.30 43.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.00 50.0%	2.27 44.1%	2.30 43.5%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.27 78.7%	1.29 77.5%	1.30 76.9%	1.27 78.7%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.18 84.8%	1.14 87.7%	1.13 88.5%	1.17 85.5%	1.15 87.0%	1.13 88.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.07 93.5%	1.03 97.1%
Over 0.75	—	1.04 96.2%
Over 1.0	—	1.06 94.3%
Over 1.25	—	1.21 82.6%
Over 1.5	1.40 71.4%	1.35 74.1%
Over 1.75	—	1.46 68.5%
Over 2.0	—	1.61 62.1%
Over 2.25	—	1.96 51.0%
Over 2.5	2.25 44.4%	—
Over 3.5	4.33 23.1%	—
Over 4.5	8.50 11.8%	—
Under 0.5	8.00 12.5%	—
Under 1.5	2.88 34.7%	—
Under 2.5	1.62 61.7%	—
Under 3.5	1.20 83.3%	—
Under 4.5	1.06 94.3%	—

Match center

Penarol

D D L L D

22.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Penarol 1:1 Corinthians

07.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Penarol 1:1 Platense

01.05 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Penarol 0:2 Corinthians

17.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Penarol 1:2 Platense

10.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Penarol 1:1 Santa Fe

0 Wins

3 Draws

2 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.4 Conceded

3 Points

Santa Fe

W D L L D

20.05 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Santa Fe 2:1 Platense

07.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Santa Fe 1:1 Corinthians

29.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Santa Fe 1:2 Platense

16.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Santa Fe 0:2 Corinthians

10.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Santa Fe 1:1 Penarol

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.4 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyPenarol - Santa Fe

Penarol

1 matches total

Santa Fe

Penarol: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Santa Fe: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 10.04 02:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (10.04 02:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

10.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Penarol

1:1

Santa Fe

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Penarol

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Santa Fe

5 Games 5

0 Wins 1

3 Draws 2

2 Losses 2

4 Scored 5

7 Conceded 7

3 Points 5

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

11.5 Shots on goal 0

4 Shots on target 2.6

.2 Sendoffs 0 Goly Alexis Zapata Nauel Bustos 0:1 13' Nakazaniya Emanuel Gularte 53' Mateo Puerta 72' Javier Cabrera 82' Kheyson Angulo 83'

Penyarol Santa-Fe 5 Games 5 0 Wins 1 3 Draws 2 Losses 2 4 Scored 5 7 Conceded 7 3 Points 5 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 11.5 Shots on goal 0 4 Udary v stvor 2.6 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3 Uglovye 3.4 1.6 Offsaydy 0.8 10.6 Foly 15.8 38.8 % vladeniya myachom 47.6 2.6 Warnings 3.2 0.2 Sendoffs 0 Goly Alexis Zapata Nauel Bustos 0:1 13' Nakazaniya Emanuel Gularte 53' Mateo Puerta 72' Javier Cabrera 82' Kheyson Angulo 83'