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Start
10.04.2026 00:00 UTC
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10.04.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished
CONMEBOL Libertadores
Platense - Corinthians
0
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Platense - Corinthians April 10, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Corinthians.
Line favourite market consensus: Corinthians. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.10 / X 2.75 / 2 2.64
- 1X2 market: Platense 30.3% / X 34.1% / Corinthians 35.6%
- Glicko: Platense - / X 100.0% / Corinthians -
- Total 2.5: over probability 55.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.5%
1
30.3%
X
34.1%
2
35.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.7%
Over 2.5
29.6%
Under 2.5
70.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: X
Main outcome
X
Agreement
4/4
Confidence
62.8%
Total
Under 2.5
Score
1:1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
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Match center
Platense - Corinthians
Platense: Win 3.00 Platense: Draw 2.80 Corinthians Win: 2.70 Obschiy total golov bolshe 1.5: 1.67 Obschiy total golov menshe 1.5: 2.10 Individualnyy total golov Platense bolshe 0.5: 1.53 Individualnyy total golov Platense menshe 0.5: 2.38 Individualnyy total golov Corinthi…
Form
0/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
4
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
0:2
Events
0
Statistics
26
Lineups
39
Metric
Platense
Corinthians
SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG)
0.2
1.24
final
Zablokirovannye udary
0
0
final
Shots off target
4
3
final
Shots on target
2
3
final
Udary vsego
6
6
final
Fouls soversheno
8
8
final
Red cards
1
0
final
Zheltye kartochki
0
1
final
Platense
#1 Hugo Souza, #2 Matheuzinho, #3 Gabriel Paulista, #7 Breno, #8 R. Garro, #9 Yuri Alberto, #13 Gustavo Henrique, #14 Raniele, #21 Matheus Bidu, #49 Andre
Corinthians
#3 T. Silva, #7 G. Mainero, #10 F. Zapiola, #20 M. Borgogno, #25 J. Saborido, #26 P. Ferreira, #31 Victor Cuesta, #99 G. Lencina
Player
Team
Metric
SStats
A. Lagos
Corinthians
Seyvy
0
B. Merlini
Corinthians
Seyvy
0
C. Ingenthron
Corinthians
Seyvy
0
E. Raggio
Corinthians
football.player.assists
0
E. Raggio
Corinthians
Dribling popytki
1
E. Raggio
Corinthians
Edinoborstva vyigrano
1
E. Raggio
Corinthians
Seyvy
0
E. Raggio
Corinthians
football.player.minutes_played
16
E. Raggio
Corinthians
Klyuchevye pasy
11
E. Raggio
Corinthians
Reyting (staryy)
7
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Platense
32.6%
-
Draw
32.1%
100.0%
draw risk
Corinthians
35.3%
-
market favourite
Total 2.5
Over 55.3%
-
Under 44.7%
Model check
-
-
Difference 0.68
Draw-trap risk
Favourite-trap risk
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.68
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
HFA: -
HFA mu: -
MoV: -
N: N=1
P: glicko2_expected
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.63
market consensus · line only
X
2.75
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
3.11
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.34
market consensus · line only
12
1.41
market consensus · line only
1X
1.45
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.38
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.08
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.57
market consensus · line only
2 +1
5.15
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
3.17
market consensus · weak value +75.2% · model 55.3%
Under 2.5
1.33
market consensus · no value · model 44.7%
Both teams to score
No
1.52
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.39
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 3.25 30.8% | |
| X | 2.80 35.7% |
| 2.50 40.0% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.88 34.7% | 2.76 36.2% | 3.23 31.0% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.20 31.3% | |
| X | 2.78 36.0% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.72 36.8% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.87 34.8% | 2.63 38.0% |
| 2.76 36.2% | 2.54 39.4% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.65 37.7% | 2.63 38.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.50 66.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.52 65.8% |
| yes | 2.40 41.7% | 2.41 41.5% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.35 42.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% |
| home_away | 1.36 73.5% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% |
| home_draw | 1.42 70.4% | 1.46 68.5% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.44 69.4% |
Match center
Platense
Founded
1905
Corinthians
Founded
1910
Match center
Corinthians
W
L
W
D
Corinthians
2:0
Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC
Corinthians
0:3
Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC
Corinthians
3:2
UCV
UCV
Corinthians
1:1
UCV
UCV
2
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.5
Scored
1.5
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyPlatense - Corinthians
Platense
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form