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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
Group E. 4 round 07.05.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
07.05.2026 22:00 UTC Group E. 4 round
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Platense - Penarol

World Football
Platense
Platense
1 : 1
Finished
Penarol
Penarol

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Platense - Penarol May 7, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Platense.

Line favourite market consensus: Platense. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.28 / X 2.94 / 2 3.44
  • 1X2 market: Platense 41.0% / X 31.8% / Penarol 27.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.9%
1 41.0%
X 31.8%
2 27.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%
Over 2.5 36.1%
Under 2.5 63.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.05.2026 22:00 UTC
Match center

Platense - Penarol

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Platense - Penyarol, 8 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Cup Libertadores 2026, Group E. 4 round. Platense - Penyarol, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.84 market consensus · line only
X 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1 3.21 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.61 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.29 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.25 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.46 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.67 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.60 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.65 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.12 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.30 43.5% 2.34 42.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.37 42.2% 2.20 45.5%
X 2.95 33.9% 3.04 32.9% 2.80 35.7% 3.00 33.3% 2.92 34.3% 2.90 34.5%
3.35 29.9% 3.52 28.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
no 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8% 1.65 60.6% 1.63 61.4% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.11 47.4% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.07 48.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.11 47.4% 2.08 48.1% 2.10 47.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.39 71.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.11 90.1% 1.07 93.5%
Over 0.75 — 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.0 — 1.14 87.7%
Over 1.25 — 1.36 73.5%
Over 1.5 1.55 64.5% 1.56 64.1%
Over 1.75 — 1.72 58.1%
Over 2.0 — 1.89 52.9%
Over 2.25 — 2.18 45.9%
Over 2.5 2.65 37.7% —
Over 3.5 5.25 19.1% —
Over 4.5 10.00 10.0% —
Under 0.5 6.25 16.0% —
Under 1.5 2.40 41.7% —
Under 2.5 1.48 67.6% —
Under 3.5 1.15 87.0% —
Under 4.5 1.04 96.2% —
Match center
Platense
W W L
29.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Platense 2:1 Santa FeSanta Fe
17.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Platense 2:1 PenarolPenarol
10.04 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Platense 0:2 CorinthiansCorinthians
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.3 Conceded
6 Points
Penarol
L L D L W
01.05 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Penarol 0:2 CorinthiansCorinthians
17.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Penarol 1:2 PlatensePlatense
10.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Penarol 1:1 Santa FeSanta Fe
20.08 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Penarol 1:3 Racing Club
13.08 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Penarol 1:0 Racing Club
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPlatense - Penarol

Platense
1 matches total
Penarol
Platense: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Penarol: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Platense 2:1 (17.04 00:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 17.04 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

17.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Platense
2:1
Penarol
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Platense
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Penarol
Platense Team comparison Penarol
3 Games 3
2 Wins 0
0 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
4 Scored 2
4 Conceded 5
6 Points 1
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
3.67 Shots on target 4.33
leniya 0.33 Goly Facundo Batista Diego Laksalt 0:1 29' Agustin Lagos Franko Sapiola 1 39' Nakazaniya Lucas Ferreira 14' Facundo Batista 30' Gido Maynero 34' Maurisio Lemos 34' Franko Sapiola 41' Maximiliano Olivera 45' Nicolas Fernandez 59' Washington Aguerre 90+8'

Platense Penyarol 3 Games 3 2 Wins 0 Draws 1 Losses 2 4 Scored 2 4 Conceded 5 6 Points 1 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 3.67 Udary v stvor 4.33 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 2.67 Uglovye 3 1 Offsaydy 2 15.33 Foly 10.67 54.33 % vladeniya myachom 39.67 2 Warnings 2.33 0.33 Sendoffs 0.33 Goly Facundo Batista Diego Laksalt 0:1 29' Agustin Lagos Franko Sapiola 1 39' Nakazaniya Lucas Ferreira 14' Facundo Batista 30' Gido Maynero 34' Maurisio Lemos 34' Franko Sapiola 41' Maximiliano Olivera 45' Nicolas Fernandez 59' Washington Aguerre 90+8'