CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
30.10.2024 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

River Plate - Atletico-MG

World Futbol
River Plate
River Plate
0 : 0
Finished
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction River Plate - Atletico-MG 30 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like River Plate.

Line favourite market consensus: River Plate. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.56 / X 4.20 / 2 6.36
  • 1X2 market: River Plate 61.9% / X 23.0% / Atletico-MG 15.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.6%
1 61.9%
X 23.0%
2 15.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 50.0%
Under 2.5 50.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.10.2024 00:30 UTC
Match center

River Plate - Atletico-MG

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.36 market consensus · line only
X 4.20 market consensus · line only
1 1.56 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.62 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 1.14 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.56 64.1%
Х 4.20 23.8%
П2 6.36 15.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.62 38.2%
home_away 1.24 80.7%
home_draw 1.14 87.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.94 51.6%
ТМ 2.5 1.94 51.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.20 83.3%
П2 4.89 20.5%
Match center
River Plate
L W D
23.10 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
River Plate 0:3 Atletico-MG
25.09 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
River Plate 1:0 Colo Colo
18.09 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
River Plate 1:1 Colo Colo
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.7 Scored
1.3 Conceded
4 Points
Atletico-MG
W W L
23.10 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Atletico-MG 3:0 River Plate
25.09 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Atletico-MG 2:0 FluminenseFluminense
18.09 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Atletico-MG 0:1 FluminenseFluminense
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
0.3 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRiver Plate - Atletico-MG

River Plate
1 matches total
Atletico-MG
River Plate: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Atletico-MG: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Atletico-MG 0:3 (23.10 00:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 23.10 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 0

Match history

23.10 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
River Plate
0:3
Atletico-MG