CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
25.09.2024 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

River Plate - Colo Colo

World Futbol
River Plate
River Plate
1 : 0
Finished
Colo Colo
Colo Colo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction River Plate - Colo Colo 25 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like River Plate.

Line favourite market consensus: River Plate. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.43 / X 4.25 / 2 9.73
  • 1X2 market: River Plate 67.4% / X 22.7% / Colo Colo 9.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.7%
1 67.4%
X 22.7%
2 9.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 44.1%
Under 2.5 55.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.09.2024 00:30 UTC
Match center

River Plate - Colo Colo

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.73 market consensus · line only
X 4.25 market consensus · line only
1 1.43 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.01 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 1.09 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.43 69.9%
Х 4.25 23.5%
П2 9.73 10.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.01 33.2%
home_away 1.24 80.7%
home_draw 1.09 91.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.19 45.7%
ТМ 2.5 1.73 57.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.12 89.3%
П2 7.07 14.1%
Match center
River Plate
D
18.09 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
River Plate 1:1 Colo Colo
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Colo Colo
D
18.09 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Colo Colo 1:1 River Plate
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRiver Plate - Colo Colo

River Plate
1 matches total
Colo Colo
River Plate: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Colo Colo: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 18.09 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (18.09 00:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

18.09 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
River Plate
1:1
Colo Colo