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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
19.05.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Rosario Central - UCV

World Football
Rosario Central
Rosario Central
4 : 0
Finished
UCV
UCV

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rosario Central - UCV May 19, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rosario Central.

Line favourite market consensus: Rosario Central. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.18 / X 6.71 / 2 15.16
  • 1X2 market: Rosario Central 79.6% / X 14.1% / UCV 6.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 79.8%
X 14.0%
2 6.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5 59.2%
Under 2.5 40.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.05.2026 22:00 UTC
Match center

Rosario Central - UCV

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.04 Fonbet · line only
X2 7.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.60 Fonbet · line only
2 0 7.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.43 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Yes 9.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.19 84.0% 1.19 84.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.15 87.0%
X 6.00 16.7% 7.25 13.8% 6.50 15.4% 6.50 15.4% 7.00 14.3% 7.00 14.3%
15.50 6.5% 16.00 6.3% 15.00 6.7% 15.00 6.7% 18.50 5.4% 15.00 6.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Superbet
no 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.54 64.9%
yes 2.38 42.0% 2.31 43.3% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.31 43.3% 2.37 42.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 4.50 22.2% 4.86 20.6% 4.60 21.7% 4.33 23.1% 4.85 20.6% 5.00 20.0%
home_away 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9%
home_draw 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1% 1.03 97.1% 1.04 96.2% 1.03 97.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.5 1.20 83.3% 1.14 87.7%
Over 1.75 1.18 84.8%
Over 2.0 1.22 82.0%
Over 2.25 1.44 69.4%
Over 2.5 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7%
Over 3.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 4.5 4.33 23.1%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.50 22.2%
Under 2.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 3.5 1.53 65.4%
Under 4.5 1.20 83.3%
Match center
Rosario Central
W W W D
05.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Rosario Central 1:0 Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
29.04 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Rosario Central 3:0 UCVUCV
15.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Rosario Central 1:0 Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
09.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Rosario Central 0:0 Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.3 Scored
0.0 Conceded
10 Points
UCV
W L L W L
06.05 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
UCV 2:0 Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
29.04 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
UCV 0:3 Rosario CentralRosario Central
16.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
UCV 1:3 Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
09.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
UCV 3:1 Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
27.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
UCV 2:3 CorinthiansCorinthians
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRosario Central - UCV

Rosario Central
1 matches total
UCV
Rosario Central: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
UCV: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Rosario Central 3:0 (29.04 00:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (3:0, 29.04 00:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 3

Match history

29.04 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Rosario Central
3:0
UCV