Match center
Start
26.09.2024 00:30 UTC
26.09.2024 00:30 UTC
Finished
CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sao Paulo - Botafogo
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sao Paulo - Botafogo 26 сентября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Botafogo.
Line favourite market consensus: Botafogo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.01 / X 2.86 / 2 2.85
- 1X2 market: Sao Paulo 32.2% / X 33.9% / Botafogo 34.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.3%
1
32.2%
X
33.9%
2
34.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Sao Paulo - Botafogo
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.85
market consensus · line only
X
2.86
market consensus · line only
1
3.01
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.43
market consensus · line only
12
1.44
market consensus · line only
1X
1.47
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.01 33.2% |
| Х | 2.86 35.0% |
| П2 | 2.85 35.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.43 69.9% |
| home_away | 1.44 69.4% |
| home_draw | 1.47 68.0% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 1.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
| ТМ 1.5 | 2.29 43.7% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.98 50.5% |
| П2 | 1.87 53.5% |
Match center
Sao Paulo
D
Sao Paulo
0:0
Botafogo
Botafogo
0
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
0.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
1
Points
Botafogo
D
Botafogo
0:0
Sao Paulo
0
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
0.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySao Paulo - Botafogo
Sao Paulo
1
matches total
Sao Paulo: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Botafogo: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
0:0 (19.09 00:30 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Sao Paulo
0:0
Botafogo