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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
25.02.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction
25.02.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Sporting Cristal - 2 de Mayo

World Football
Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
0 : 0
Finished
2 de Mayo
2 de Mayo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sporting Cristal - 2 de Mayo February 25, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sporting Cristal.

Line favourite market consensus: Sporting Cristal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.50 / X 4.00 / 2 6.11
  • 1X2 market: Sporting Cristal 61.6% / X 23.2% / 2 de Mayo 15.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 61.7%
X 23.1%
2 15.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5 46.8%
Under 2.5 53.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.02.2026 00:30 UTC
Match center

Sporting Cristal - 2 de Mayo

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.14 market consensus · line only
X 4.01 market consensus · line only
1 1.50 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.49 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 1.11 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.51 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.90 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.48 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.67 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.10 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.50 66.7%
X 4.16 24.0%
6.56 15.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.54 64.9% 1.49 67.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8%
X 4.10 24.4% 3.95 25.3% 4.20 23.8% 3.80 26.3% 4.10 24.4% 4.00 25.0%
5.75 17.4% 5.60 17.9% 6.62 15.1% 6.00 16.7% 5.50 18.2% 6.20 16.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 2.08 48.1% 2.05 48.8% 2.20 45.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.10 47.6% 2.08 48.1% 2.21 45.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.45 40.8% 2.53 39.5% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.57 38.9% 2.63 38.0%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Sporting Cristal
D L L W D
18.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 2:2 2 de Mayo2 de Mayo
29.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 0:6 PalmeirasPalmeiras
14.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 0:1 Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
08.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 2:1 BolívarBolívar
25.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 2:2 Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.4 Conceded
5 Points
2 de Mayo
D D W
18.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
2 de Mayo 2:2 Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
12.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
2 de Mayo 1:1 Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
05.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
2 de Mayo 1:0 Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySporting Cristal - 2 de Mayo

Sporting Cristal
1 matches total
2 de Mayo
Sporting Cristal: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
2 de Mayo: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 18.02 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (18.02 00:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

18.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal
2:2
2 de Mayo