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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
11.03.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
11.03.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Sporting Cristal - Carabobo FC

World Football
Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
1 : 2
Finished
Carabobo FC
Carabobo FC

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sporting Cristal - Carabobo FC March 11, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sporting Cristal.

Line favourite market consensus: Sporting Cristal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.87 / X 3.20 / 2 4.47
  • 1X2 market: Sporting Cristal 49.9% / X 29.2% / Carabobo FC 21.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.1%
1 49.9%
X 29.2%
2 20.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5 37.3%
Under 2.5 62.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 11.03.2026 22:00 UTC
Match center

Sporting Cristal - Carabobo FC

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.49 market consensus · line only
X 3.20 market consensus · line only
1 1.87 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.91 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.19 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.45 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.21 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.54 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.51 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.59 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.25 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.88 53.2%
X 3.22 31.1%
4.77 21.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.90 52.6% 1.71 58.5% 1.92 52.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.83 54.6%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.27 30.6% 3.30 30.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3%
4.20 23.8% 4.85 20.6% 4.66 21.5% 3.90 25.6% 4.35 23.0% 4.60 21.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.60 62.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.59 62.9% 1.61 62.1% 1.61 62.1%
yes 2.20 45.5% 2.54 39.4% 2.18 45.9% 2.25 44.4% 2.18 45.9% 2.38 42.0% 2.18 45.9% 2.31 43.3% 2.22 45.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
draw_away 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.86 53.8%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.23 81.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Sporting Cristal
W D D L L
04.03 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 1:0 Carabobo FCCarabobo FC
25.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 0:0 2 de Mayo2 de Mayo
18.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 2:2 2 de Mayo2 de Mayo
29.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 0:6 PalmeirasPalmeiras
14.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 0:1 Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
Carabobo FC
L W W L L
04.03 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Carabobo FC 0:1 Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
24.02 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Carabobo FC 2:1 HuachipatoHuachipato
17.02 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Carabobo FC 1:0 HuachipatoHuachipato
28.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Carabobo FC 0:2 Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
14.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Carabobo FC 0:4 Universidad de Chile
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySporting Cristal - Carabobo FC

Sporting Cristal
1 matches total
Carabobo FC
Sporting Cristal: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Carabobo FC: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Sporting Cristal 1:0 (04.03 22:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 04.03 22:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

04.03 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal
1:0
Carabobo FC