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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
14.05.2025 00:30 UTC Match prediction
14.05.2025 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteno

World Football
Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
0 : 1
Finished
Cerro Porteno
Cerro Porteno

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteno May 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cerro Porteno.

Line favourite market consensus: Cerro Porteno. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.86 / X 3.26 / 2 2.44
  • 1X2 market: Sporting Cristal 32.8% / X 28.8% / Cerro Porteno 38.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.6%
1 32.8%
X 28.8%
2 38.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.5%
Over 2.5 49.6%
Under 2.5 50.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.05.2025 00:30 UTC
Match center

Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteno

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.44 market consensus · line only
X 3.26 market consensus · line only
1 2.87 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.41 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.54 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.14 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.39 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.68 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.99 33.4%
X 3.38 29.6%
2.45 40.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.86 35.0% 2.95 33.9% 2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7% 3.00 33.3% 2.88 34.7%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.39 29.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3%
2.44 41.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.10 47.6% 2.13 47.0% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.06 48.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.02 49.5%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.65 60.6% 1.68 59.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.40 71.4% 1.41 70.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.41 70.9%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.56 64.1%
Match center
Sporting Cristal
W D L L
08.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 2:1 BolívarBolívar
25.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 2:2 Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
10.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 0:3 BolívarBolívar
03.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 2:3 PalmeirasPalmeiras
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.5 Scored
2.3 Conceded
4 Points
Cerro Porteno
L D L W W
08.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno 0:2 PalmeirasPalmeiras
25.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno 2:2 Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
10.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno 0:1 PalmeirasPalmeiras
01.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno 4:2 BolívarBolívar
12.03 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno 4:2 FBC MelgarFBC Melgar
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySporting Cristal - Cerro Porteno

Sporting Cristal
1 matches total
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Cerro Porteno: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 25.04 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (25.04 00:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

25.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal
2:2
Cerro Porteno